Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a12874f8e92849e6a7d063eeece6f18cccde232dcb24db3cf5a3cf529e19edc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 24,453$17,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,274.7 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 12,472$9,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.82 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 10,534$7,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.38 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed No | 76c | 6,579$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Yes | 44c | 5,518$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 5,219$3,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.7 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 5,050$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 24c | 3,695$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.74 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 31c | 3,254$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.03 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 3,043$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.72 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…e850backed Yes | 27c | 2,908$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 25c | 2,800$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 26c | 2,796$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.96 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 50c | 2,697$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +148.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 2,645$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.94 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 51c | 2,575$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.55 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 39c | 2,575$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf74…f9cbbacked Yes | 57c | 1,766$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 74c | 1,460$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.7 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 64c | 1,385$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.7 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,294$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.2 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Yes | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.63 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 29c | 1,040$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed No | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 24c | 999.96$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…b663backed Yes | 19c | 980$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 25c | 972$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb52…14dbbacked Yes | 22c | 904.34$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed No | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 36c | 833.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 801$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.64 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Yes | 56c | 774.06$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb1…3272backed Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 51c | 759.72$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.88 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 75c | 700$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74e…e0a6backed Yes | 25c | 680$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 23c | 606.16$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 25c | 584$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a26…0498backed Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 63c | 550.13$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.82 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Yes | 28c | 543.25$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.22 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed No | 57c | 530.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.42 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 45c | 520$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.2 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b5…8ccfbacked Yes | 39c | 512.5$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a7adbacked Yes | 25c | 503.66$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked No | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…ff71backed No | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 26c | 499.96$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 26c | 496.98$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.25 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 52c | 439.19$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…86b1backed Yes | 24c | 435.24$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 59c | 433.28$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.93 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 19c | 410.94$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.68 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ca23backed Yes | 45c | 402.53$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 56c | 394.63$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.16 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Yes | 25c | 392$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…a266backed No | 74c | 390.54$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 53c | 387.49$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.49 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf24e…080dbacked No | 50c | 386.52$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9db1…d726backed Yes | 47c | 322.47$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 317.74$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.26 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8792…0274backed Yes | 38c | 315.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 51c | 312$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.85 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…bffcbacked Yes | 50c | 301.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Yes | 25c | 299.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 75c | 293.23$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.31 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes | 6c | 287.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 11c | 286.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bf…231fbacked Yes | 25c | 272.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…c131backed No | 55c | 253.13$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +70%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…20dfbacked Yes | 9c | 233.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes | 68c | 226.76$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 26c | 221.24$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Yes | 26c | 220$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Yes | 47c | 218.43$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.66 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 55c | 205.41$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.35 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 27c | 204.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc9…8ad1backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd7…88e6backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?No won
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.