TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,304
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,362

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,304 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x76bc…db0abacked Yes26c7,596$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,97520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes39c6,123$2,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,378.461,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c5,811$4,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.7538056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed No74c5,410$4,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.583767.6%25 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c4,361$3,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.7487344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d9…6964backed Yes26c3,761$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c3,403$2,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.8528448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed No69c2,658$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.612360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No74c2,412$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.7824642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ae…f358backed Yes72c2,094$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dbf…7776backed No74c2,077$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes26c1,899$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013650%18 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Yes28c1,894$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.88944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes26c1,533$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.989863.3%62 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb52…14dbbacked Yes46c1,393$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.5960%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes27c1,380$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3705135.3%18 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No50c1,319$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.0411070%77 W · 33 L+18.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes12c1,300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156100%0 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes20c1,140$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.76922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed Yes30c1,021$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes25c996.15$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.1848649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes39c941.2$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.0737638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No60c903$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.064231%13 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ba3…c7f1backed Yes70c854.78$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No78c820$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1814170.7%29 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+54.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No60c816.09$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.161,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes5c814.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.914122%9 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes24c788.95$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.23922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes26c786$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3612147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20cb…6933backed Yes27c704.26$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No73c683.98$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6821143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No49c666.7$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.7815048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Yes27c543.1$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.282846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c513.78$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.8352550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Yes57c500$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.051145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf49…e7f4backed No74c462.16$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes6c434.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253122.6%7 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62f8…2928backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes26c376.92$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No63c376.68$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.126040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes30c350.89$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.275151%26 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes26c326.92$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853658.3%21 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2bef…f80abacked Yes26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7830%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+36.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes36c277.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes26c277$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0217043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2246…e958backed Yes27c259.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes26c256.85$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.783033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes26c255.12$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3320150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No75c250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.513246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No79c238.9$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2326660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes22c208.73$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9211916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Yes7c205.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142313%3 W · 20 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf9…f6bcbacked Yes66c199.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes26c198.9$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.713756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaae6…095ebacked Yes26c193.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2550%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa57c…22b8backed Yes30c190$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-47.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No74c179.99$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.814057.1%80 W · 60 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4325…20efbacked Yes20c176.37$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No76c174.77$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3718847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Yes58c171.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbef8…7445backed No75c155.63$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes17c153.19$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9522854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04a…d7ecbacked Yes67c152.19$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85f…7f69backed Yes27c151.85$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ee…e69cbacked Yes8c150.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.82425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Yes42c147.07$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.762240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes27c146$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.422437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x687d…e28bbacked Yes72c139.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c128.22$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0862648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes29c125.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0116242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes26c123$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9826845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes11c121.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.412035%7 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes11c112$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.885026%13 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes37c109.38$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412321.7%5 W · 18 L-5.1wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-49.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c101$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2624044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2615455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b1f…f549backed Yes75c99.79$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.84616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-78.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked No52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253534.3%12 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c3…2020backed Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes16c87.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes27c85.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes48c81.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.192334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed No75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb14…0da7backed Yes28c78.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39b…eb0dbacked No75c77.81$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6257…8080backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef8…1583backed Yes27c75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.251118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a33…6410backed No61c70.49$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.49475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33ab…ef42backed Yes71c70.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.99366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes26c65.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179346.2%43 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x806b…5cd8backed Yes26c64.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.711457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed No76c64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.362759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No73c63.47$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1429949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.