TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x62f8…2928

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
186
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4814.6%7 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.63
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+282.1%+$3,164.84
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+140.7%+$342.2
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$578.81
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,178.13
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,545Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+219.8%+$3,395.77
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+222.9%+$4,993.47
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$586.57
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.19
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.22
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$992Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$992.32
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.44
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$509.8
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$344
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,187.49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,370.21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT4211.9%5 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick15cpaid+25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$526.43
Türkiye leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.78
Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 2 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.81
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Australia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.85
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 2 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.37
Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 0 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$235
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.41
Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 2 New Zealand?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Uruguay leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.04
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 3 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Leandro Trossard: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+400%+$139
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.74
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,594.9%+$956.95
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2114.3%3 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.66
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.66
VfL Wolfsburg leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$195.71
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.1
Exact Score: 1. FC Köln 0 - 2 1. FC Heidenheim 1846?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.53
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.6
Will Hamburger SV vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.85
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Eintracht Braunschweig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.22
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$252.74
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$319.92
Exact Score: SV Werder Bremen 3 - 2 Hamburger SV?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.09
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.08
Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SV Darmstadt 98 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$216.8
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100.8
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$52.29
Will 1. FC Nürnberg vs. Karlsruher SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$96
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-80.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 3 - 3 Real Sociedad de Fútbol?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.22
Exact Score: CA Osasuna 3 - 3 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.46
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Getafe CF leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 RC Celta de Vigo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.91
Exact Score: Levante UD 3 - 3 CA Osasuna?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Will Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.15
Exact Score: Girona FC 3 - 3 RCD Mallorca?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.3
Exact Score: RCD Mallorca 3 - 3 Valencia CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elche CF win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Getafe CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$270
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)backed RC Celta de Vigo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elche CF win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+244.8%+$394.17
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick19cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Conor Gallagher: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.5
Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+268.9%+$196.42
Will West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.98
Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3 - 3 Chelsea FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.23
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 2 - 2 West Ham United FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.44
Will Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$143.17
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)backed Brentford FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$61.36
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)backed Middlesbrough FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+440.1%+$250.84
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+212.5%+$204
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Watford FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$214.85
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$44.68
Will Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+300%+$375
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$300.2
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+334.8%+$334.95
All 16 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Auckland FC 2 - 2 Sydney FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Macarthur FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.07
Will Macarthur FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.91
Will Macarthur FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$32.82
Will Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.95
Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)backed Melbourne Victory FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United Jets FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+244.8%+$244.83
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+381.9%+$634
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid+150%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$584.54
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.01
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 3 FC Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.38
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.51
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.06
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.92
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.16
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.24
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$129.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.