Fifa International · resolved market
Leandro Trossard: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb673a04ae367605348b5252f91c4ee7cb1dfaacf69fc02825a7ab77c900f35dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 74c | 392.31$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 26c | 385.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 75c | 261.8$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yes | 26c | 173.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 147.4$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 27c | 130.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…2928backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…c18bbacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 70c | 84.67$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…c427backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 71.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…32b2backed Yes | 31c | 64.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3662…0e48backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 74c | 54.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 67c | 51.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 80c | 51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 73c | 25.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexis Saelemaekers: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexis Saelemaekers: 3+ goalsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goalsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ assistsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ goalsNo won
- Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 1+ assistsYes won
- Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mostafa Zico: 3+ goalsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 1+ goalsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goalsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 3+ goalsNo won
- Youri Tielemans: 1+ assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.