Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf41505000cfc831c11319ab53e6360f70064b2d3eab68c919159be691a109c63

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $7,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $8,096

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,836 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x336b…1233backed No	73c	3,005$2,191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$814.61	192	52.1%100 W · 92 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe668…8a94backed Yes	27c	2,517$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.52	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes	28c	1,071$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	278	20.1%56 W · 222 L	-17.2wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No	72c	999.98$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	165	64.2%106 W · 59 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	72c	902.35$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.66	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd220…fc0bbacked Yes	28c	535.71$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	104	32.7%34 W · 70 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x886f…5e20backed Yes	28c	535.71$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No	73c	488.89$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	327	65.7%215 W · 112 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes	27c	481.48$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	225	51.6%116 W · 109 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a09…cdffbacked Yes	28c	330.47$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.12	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No	72c	274.4$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.83	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No	73c	241.81$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.29	148	60.1%89 W · 59 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa622…4448backed Yes	28c	179.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	113	25.7%29 W · 84 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48f8…36dbbacked Yes	29c	171.9$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	120	36.7%44 W · 76 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No	71c	160.01$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.99	333	50.5%168 W · 165 L	+24.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	72c	157.59$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.03	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	68c	151.98$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.12	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	73c	118.52$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04bc…037bbacked Yes	29c	115.86$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.45	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No	73c	103$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.62	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked No	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.98	585	30.9%181 W · 404 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No	72c	99.99$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	470	49.4%232 W · 238 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…cbe8backed Yes	28c	95.53$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.75	124	35.5%44 W · 80 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes	27c	92.59$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	145	28.3%41 W · 104 L	-9.5wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0107…8c74backed Yes	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	68	27.9%19 W · 49 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70f2…1652backed Yes	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	130	37.7%49 W · 81 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3607…c427backed Yes	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	138	33.3%46 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes	28c	53.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	494	26.7%132 W · 362 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No	79c	47.62$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No	72c	40$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.2	379	71.2%270 W · 109 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No	73c	30$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.1	172	71.5%123 W · 49 L	+12.8wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No	73c	26.59$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.18	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No	72c	26.54$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.54	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	72c	25.34$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No	72c	20.97$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.98	1,151	58.5%673 W · 478 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event