Fifa International · resolved market
Mohamed Salah: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9be4887d5abdca6e027067c81b3e22c9961d947ea9ac2d3392633355e3d09651
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes | 26c | 2,899$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -12.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 75c | 1,918$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.98 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 76c | 1,070$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.77 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…7fc0backed No | 74c | 870.02$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.2 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…f815backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…04d4backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 358.14$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.39 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 76c | 353.42$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 75c | 272$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…8e24backed Yes | 26c | 262.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked No | 73c | 227.14$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 72c | 186.89$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 66c | 160.74$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 76c | 140.44$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed No | 75c | 131$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…cfc1backed Yes | 30c | 106.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa883…f526backed Yes | 27c | 103.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Yes | 25c | 101.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9658…83d5backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…74d6backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…4ef4backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 73c | 77.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…eebfbacked Yes | 28c | 71.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…0e2fbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745e…964bbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae7…cc66backed Yes | 27c | 59.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 75c | 52.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…e1acbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 74c | 49.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…9176backed No | 70c | 43.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 151 | 77.5%117 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 74c | 40.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…fc59backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ba…bd7ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb147…beedbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684c…92f4backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 39c | 27.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexis Saelemaekers: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexis Saelemaekers: 3+ goalsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goalsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ assistsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ goalsNo won
- Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 1+ assistsYes won
- Mohamed Salah: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mostafa Zico: 3+ goalsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 1+ goalsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goalsNo won
- Romelu Lukaku: 3+ goalsNo won
- Youri Tielemans: 1+ assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.