TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x59d0…eebf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3729.7%11 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bart Verbruggen win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will Bruno Fernandes record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.33
Will Cristiano Ronaldo's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldobacked Ronaldo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.67
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$39
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.68
Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$21.33
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Federico Viñas: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$21.35
Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Raphinha: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT3420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "THE UNKNOWN by Arthur HARARI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
Will "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.89
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+928.3%+$123.98
Will "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.73
Will "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.29
Will "LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.58
Will "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.39
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+390.2%+$58.53
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.14
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.82
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+95%+$19.95
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.69
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+190.1%+$107.2
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+317.1%+$82.8
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+297.2%+$48.55
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.48
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.21
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$23.11
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Devin Vassell Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$25.54
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.64
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+203%+$71.06
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$22.5
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Maria Timofeeva vs Heather Watsonbacked Heather Watson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Bad Homburg Open: Emma Navarro vs Gabriela Rusebacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Bad Homburg Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emma Navarrobacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs August Holmgrenbacked Jerome Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tereza Valentova vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Arthur Fery vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linettebacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.41
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.19
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.69
Stars vs. Maple Leafsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.87
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$92.06
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 4 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jonas Sulzbach be the next person eliminated from Big Brother Brasil 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.