TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,350
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,047

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,350 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under33c6,979$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,676.2411938.7%46 W · 73 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e86…cb8fbacked Over67c4,132$2,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,768.58520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Over69c3,913$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7001947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Under31c3,874$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,658.751,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Under33c3,100$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0771,52254.7%832 W · 690 L+37.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Over67c3,000$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.985851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under31c2,200$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.9952750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Over67c2,093$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.11,31055.8%731 W · 579 L+43.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over67c1,300$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.3121946.6%102 W · 117 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Over28c1,290$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.1648944.4%217 W · 272 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked Over67c1,191$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79828166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under33c1,124$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.762,17853.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L+61.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under30c775.26$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.7214228.2%40 W · 102 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a70…4865backed Over69c724.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14cd…cec1backed Over67c624$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4186235.5%22 W · 40 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30028048.6%136 W · 144 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under32c510$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.81,18244.8%530 W · 652 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over61c495.99$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.859647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over44c491.64$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.631,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Under35c484.84$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.8453753.6%288 W · 249 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Over69c439.11$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.8915148.3%73 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over69c435.47$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.521,61643.8%708 W · 908 L-74.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Over68c341.49$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.2161055.7%340 W · 270 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Over61c329.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under32c319.91$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.5449947.1%235 W · 264 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Over66c307$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.621,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc926…8058backed Over67c298.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025560.8%155 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over67c297$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.991,09752.3%574 W · 523 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under32c288.91$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4618436.4%67 W · 117 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Over68c249.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.991464.3%9 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Under46c242.23$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.2352046%239 W · 281 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under39c226.13$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.991,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over28c225.8$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2238148%183 W · 198 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Under33c217.03$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.3932755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under33c214.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9974637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1341,80251.2%923 W · 879 L+53.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Under30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14096749.8%482 W · 485 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc011…0a62backed Over68c199.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9945050.9%229 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under32c198.51$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9979745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Under45c169.79$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3847347.4%224 W · 249 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under33c165$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5540231.3%126 W · 276 L-28.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over59c149.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.072,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce6…f60abacked Over67c148.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over31c148$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8833838.2%129 W · 209 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe2b…51debacked Over69c143.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.024757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2d…0211backed Under33c130$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.13363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Under80c122.13$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5122565.3%147 W · 78 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under41c120.57$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.362,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under56c101.42$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.061,60817.5%282 W · 1,326 L-245.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1132…5a2fbacked Over66c100.8$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672564%16 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507c…6c0cbacked Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516744.8%30 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea39…9d34backed Over68c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.991442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over66c89.2$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.212,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b46…fd16backed Over34c87.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick44cpaid-78.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over69c87.1$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6063458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under43c81.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.439244.9%176 W · 216 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0925…dda4backed Over49c81.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-65.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa422…d210backed Over32c78.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb238…4961backed Over57c76.93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8513542.2%57 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Under64c76.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5357349.4%283 W · 290 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a88…ded1backed Over66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503638.9%14 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-31.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Under43c75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7539755.4%220 W · 177 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed Over69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0585…57dbbacked Over68c71.97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under59c67.12$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.322,02030.5%617 W · 1,403 L-172.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x31b7…b8e4backed Under33c63.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.285651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under26c61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.943,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x310b…19ccbacked Under35c60.93$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.844553.3%24 W · 21 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Over67c60.59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.63540%14 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91bc…28d6backed Over67c59.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021257.5%122 W · 90 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under32c58.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6461946.5%288 W · 331 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…3a30backed Over57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015857.6%91 W · 67 L+0.7wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ad…1538backed Over48c52.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under44c49.09$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4930246.4%140 W · 162 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0193…6db1backed Under33c45.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.453066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under50c41.55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.932,33039.4%919 W · 1,411 L-83.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under51c40.51$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.711,38431.3%433 W · 951 L-133.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under34c40.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.541,57748.4%764 W · 813 L+17.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x772b…5facbacked Over57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.886054.7%470 W · 390 L+32.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffbf…1184backed Under38c39.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3628959.9%173 W · 116 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed Over65c34.15$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.29857.1%56 W · 42 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Under45c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.748747%229 W · 258 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under43c33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.976051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d9…fa77backed Over65c30.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.997139.4%28 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8c9…9aaebacked Over57c30.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.31560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe76…7ee0backed Over68c29.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over72c27.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7157451.4%295 W · 279 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59d0…eebfbacked Over68c26.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc30…8780backed Over60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.17646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6dc…58d5backed Under71c19.96$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7622152.5%116 W · 105 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc31c…fb90backed Over59c18.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114868.8%33 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under61c16.57$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.451,18166%780 W · 401 L+70.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf75…cd85backed Under67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.959346.2%43 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.