TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc926…8058

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
306
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT25560.8%155 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 255 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Blood in Game 2?backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.1
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,196Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$345.86
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$949Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$252.14
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$734Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$271.66
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$751Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+108.2%+$812.63
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$899Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$899.17
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,286.75
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,137.85
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,427Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$573.03
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$857Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$868.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$563.7
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.5
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,169Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$755.56
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$179.13
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$240.06
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$209.88
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$75.5
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$586.32
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$127.42
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$130.77
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+50%+$610.12
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 255 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.53
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs OG (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Bbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$70
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$110.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+123.1%+$184.72
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$23.48
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$27.73
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial (BO5) - ESL Challenger League South America Finals Playoffsbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$43.4
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,769Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$628.13
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-26.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$219.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+900%+$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+73.8%+$175.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$104.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$43.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wei Yi win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.