CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0448e73272ef7d33d84e9cd879ed3c0e39fde2293f13efe803d6480f5de1c95b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, Voca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed M80 | 45c | 1,993$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.44 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Voca | 46c | 1,622$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.91 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Voca | 51c | 1,530$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.3 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Voca | 42c | 1,506$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.46 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Voca | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked M80 | 36c | 1,100$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.62 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Voca | 70c | 1,012$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.21 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Voca | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed M80 | 28c | 929.86$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.67 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked M80 | 48c | 805.21$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.4 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Voca | 23c | 608.58$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.55 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Voca | 65c | 567.1$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.52 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Voca | 62c | 566.88$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.15 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed M80 | 72c | 544.46$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.18 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed M80 | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.25 | 298 | 51.3%153 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Voca | 45c | 433.7$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.29 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed M80 | 71c | 423.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.77 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked M80 | 76c | 420.34$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.34 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed M80 | 29c | 396.11$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.16 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed M80 | 77c | 298.87$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea2…caa2backed M80 | 62c | 297.25$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.96 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed M80 | 53c | 268.34$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.24 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Voca | 34c | 251.56$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.92 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed M80 | 31c | 247.29$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.03 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Voca | 66c | 220.96$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.31 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed M80 | 51c | 202.34$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.52 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Voca | 7c | 187.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43c5…7ee5backed Voca | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344e…019ebacked Voca | 66c | 151.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 14%14 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked M80 | 46c | 135.55$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked M80 | 44c | 134.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc926…8058backed M80 | 77c | 118.73$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4719…8d69backed M80 | 39c | 116.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Voca | 37c | 112.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…5adfbacked M80 | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed Voca | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 428 | 31.3%134 W · 294 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked M80 | 57c | 96.26$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…d958backed M80 | 41c | 95.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 316 | 62.7%198 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Voca | 34c | 78.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5900…45ebbacked M80 | 67c | 78.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Voca | 47c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked M80 | 30c | 64.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked M80 | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked M80 | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Voca | 76c | 41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed M80 | 32c | 40.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked M80 | 44c | 40.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Voca | 32c | 40.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ff…b8debacked Voca | 58c | 33.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Voca | 54c | 31.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked M80 | 33c | 31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 291 | 56.7%165 W · 126 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed M80 | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ff…6b45backed Voca | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Voca | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f5…8a0cbacked M80 | 61c | 24.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed M80 | 58c | 20.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO5) - ESL Challenger League North America Finals PlayoffsM80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 3 WinnerVoca won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 4 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Voca (+1.5)M80 won
- Map Handicap: M80 (-2.5) vs Voca (+2.5)Voca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.