CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2e75126664ee9106e646dc09ccbe23d5af56bd30a69ac8f5e22cf623815bd45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, Voca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked M80 | 55c | 1,307$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.83 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked M80 | 63c | 1,005$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.75 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Voca | 38c | 808$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.35 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked M80 | 71c | 791.57$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.46 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Voca | 47c | 723.28$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 219 | 47.5%104 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Voca | 28c | 686.93$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.9 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Voca | 30c | 610$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.09 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Voca | 19c | 556$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked M80 | 64c | 446$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.64 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…6163backed M80 | 80c | 398.65$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.73 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Voca | 34c | 380.4$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.48 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Voca | 47c | 295.74$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed M80 | 53c | 289.74$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.18 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed M80 | 52c | 281.54$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.09 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Voca | 37c | 268.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd163…1428backed M80 | 76c | 259.99$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Voca | 39c | 259.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Voca | 39c | 249.88$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed Voca | 41c | 243.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Voca | 31c | 240.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Voca | 34c | 239.28$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf38backed M80 | 67c | 228.42$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Voca | 29c | 220$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Voca | 30c | 209.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f5…2a5fbacked Voca | 37c | 203.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…4cfbbacked Voca | 33c | 203.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…ab59backed Voca | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…a387backed M80 | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed M80 | 54c | 183.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed M80 | 76c | 158$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 210 | 53.8%113 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed M80 | 65c | 154.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 166 | 50.6%84 W · 82 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed M80 | 68c | 146.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…f75bbacked Voca | 39c | 139.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed M80 | 71c | 128.76$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4719…8d69backed M80 | 55c | 103$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Voca | 43c | 101.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…ea3ebacked M80 | 80c | 100.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed M80 | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Voca | 36c | 82.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Voca | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Voca | 36c | 78.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…2102backed M80 | 56c | 74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked M80 | 69c | 64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…5aaebacked M80 | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed M80 | 61c | 58.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Voca | 40c | 58.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Voca | 39c | 51.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22bc…b0b2backed Voca | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 47.7%62 W · 68 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed M80 | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked M80 | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…0e11backed M80 | 69c | 43.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…7a55backed Voca | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Voca | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Voca | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…72a6backed M80 | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed M80 | 65c | 31.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed M80 | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8d…4b6fbacked M80 | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630b…34ffbacked M80 | 59c | 27.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked M80 | 61c | 21.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed M80 | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO5) - ESL Challenger League North America Finals PlayoffsM80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 3 WinnerVoca won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Voca (+1.5)M80 won
- Map Handicap: M80 (-2.5) vs Voca (+2.5)Voca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.