CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf43f0e03f5ffc0d5833cf73ed565d8bb30f561725e5e1d00f38a99f6b10b9a9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vocaof M80, Voca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked M80 | 20c | 2,300$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.85 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed M80 | 63c | 1,983$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.32 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Voca | 71c | 1,048$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.35 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Voca | 62c | 993.19$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.96 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Voca | 42c | 943$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.95 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Voca | 36c | 824.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.76 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed M80 | 58c | 753.44$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed M80 | 69c | 705$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.8 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Voca | 58c | 604.59$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.67 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked M80 | 68c | 539.61$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.05 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Voca | 42c | 452.48$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.24 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed M80 | 68c | 449.25$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.58 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked M80 | 45c | 434.8$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.43 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Voca | 33c | 307.77$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.06 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Voca | 53c | 286.94$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.02 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Voca | 39c | 273.77$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…54adbacked Voca | 64c | 266.65$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.13 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Voca | 75c | 265.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.61 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Voca | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Voca | 78c | 239.69$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…fb0fbacked Voca | 41c | 208.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked M80 | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Voca | 36c | 198.92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.31 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Voca | 46c | 194.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.37 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked M80 | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344e…019ebacked Voca | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 100 | 14%14 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Voca | 68c | 162.88$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Voca | 61c | 153.05$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f5…2a5fbacked M80 | 39c | 129.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Voca | 39c | 113.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…7a55backed M80 | 15c | 113.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed M80 | 40c | 110.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed M80 | 34c | 102.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed M80 | 43c | 99.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 428 | 31.3%134 W · 294 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed M80 | 40c | 99.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Voca | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Voca | 52c | 78.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Voca | 68c | 77.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed M80 | 61c | 77.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Voca | 69c | 61.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked M80 | 69c | 58.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Voca | 35c | 58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked M80 | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 291 | 56.7%165 W · 126 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed M80 | 27c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed M80 | 60c | 39.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd2…345ebacked Voca | 56c | 34.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…b0d0backed M80 | 39c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…44bbbacked M80 | 50c | 26.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ff…b8debacked Voca | 80c | 26.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked M80 | 53c | 25.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked M80 | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…6354backed Voca | 61c | 20.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO5) - ESL Challenger League North America Finals PlayoffsM80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 4 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Voca (+1.5)M80 won
- Map Handicap: M80 (-2.5) vs Voca (+2.5)Voca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.