TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa9e6…fb0f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
209
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT9129.7%27 W · 64 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Imperial - Map 2 Winnerbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.53
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Imperial (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.03
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Keyd (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffsbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.61
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.98
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.08
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.03
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.55
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.49
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.1
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.49
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.88
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$70.5
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$101.34
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$38.36
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+140.1%+$63.03
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.75
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.45
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.54
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.27
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.77
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT8542.4%36 W · 49 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$80.7
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$118.43
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$244.66
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$225.27
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$103.09
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$42.42
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.48
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.35
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+336.7%+$330.26
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.29
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.32
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Magic vs. Pistons: 1H Moneylinebacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.72
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$240.69
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$96.72
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.77
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$132.79
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.23
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+203%+$103.71
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.54
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.17
Wizards vs. Cavaliersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.32
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.72
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.56
Wizards vs. Lakersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.37
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+71.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Adam Waltonbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+277.5%+$47.18
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.88
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.35
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+241.6%+$140.74
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$133.63
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+279.7%+$210.41
Set 1 Winner: Fonseca vs Djokovicbacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.19
Argentina Open: Joao Fonseca vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.3
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+129.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-68.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick31cpaid+197.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$85.68
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$36.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.