Tennis · resolved market

Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a62f72054c8fd5deb1116b78738ab99f337240906a0bf46931870f031629094

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Joao Fonsecaof Casper Ruud, Joao Fonseca
Resolved: Jun 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,727,409
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,894,061

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,727,409 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked Casper Ruud	63c	215,765$135,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135,489.58	61	41%25 W · 36 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Casper Ruud	62c	134,269$83,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83,162.09	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+3.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+78%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed Casper Ruud	14c	108,042$15,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,632.14	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Casper Ruud	48c	99,919$48,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,140.07	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Joao Fonseca	37c	93,847$35,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58,847.46	386	47.4%183 W · 203 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Casper Ruud	62c	90,357$56,246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56,245.68	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Joao Fonseca	60c	70,054$41,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,344.24	4,803	49.5%2,379 W · 2,424 L	+174.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Joao Fonseca	37c	68,946$25,510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,435.73	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Joao Fonseca	71c	58,959$41,591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,367.75	4,305	45%1,939 W · 2,366 L	+20.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Joao Fonseca	66c	53,354$35,011 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,342.73	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Casper Ruud	64c	47,401$30,336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,336.37	95	45.3%43 W · 52 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc117…de2fbacked Casper Ruud	45c	45,039$20,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,293.52	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Joao Fonseca	61c	40,000$24,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,750	582	40%233 W · 349 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf19…6402backed Casper Ruud	36c	39,233$14,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,128.39	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b91…06c4backed Casper Ruud	27c	36,070$9,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,800	91	38.5%35 W · 56 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x363c…4463backed Casper Ruud	32c	36,001$11,667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,667.05	274	31.8%87 W · 187 L	+12.4wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Joao Fonseca	67c	34,730$23,107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,622.84	1,218	49.2%599 W · 619 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Joao Fonseca	66c	30,322$20,049 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,272.67	8,241	45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L	+166.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Casper Ruud	2c	28,038$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.84	1,210	7.9%96 W · 1,114 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+79.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Joao Fonseca	38c	27,104$10,299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,804.53	203	40.4%82 W · 121 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+15%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Joao Fonseca	78c	25,655$20,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,654.68	70	62.9%44 W · 26 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x749e…1090backed Joao Fonseca	38c	25,485$9,655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,830.25	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Joao Fonseca	36c	25,111$8,973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,138.42	104	43.3%45 W · 59 L	+8.4wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Joao Fonseca	37c	25,000$9,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,750	159	33.3%53 W · 106 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Joao Fonseca	48c	22,165$10,576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,589.29	5,075	41.5%2,104 W · 2,971 L	-83.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x760f…326abacked Casper Ruud	62c	21,693$13,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,500	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed Joao Fonseca	36c	21,171$7,622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,549.69	216	42.6%92 W · 124 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd864…497ebacked Casper Ruud	29c	19,739$5,724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,724.18	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.17per pick	32cpaid	-62%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Casper Ruud	29c	19,619$5,677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,676.71	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3695…c66cbacked Casper Ruud	54c	18,847$10,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,200	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Joao Fonseca	61c	17,706$10,756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,950.64	6,798	36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L	-98.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Joao Fonseca	38c	17,663$6,712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,951.06	951	40.1%381 W · 570 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51e1…5ec9backed Casper Ruud	9c	17,500$1,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,530	440	18.9%83 W · 357 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Casper Ruud	32c	16,726$5,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,330	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63a4…0091backed Joao Fonseca	45c	16,000$7,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,800	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Joao Fonseca	37c	15,984$5,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,058.24	2,255	37.1%836 W · 1,419 L	+43.1wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Joao Fonseca	37c	15,555$5,755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,799.65	780	47.2%368 W · 412 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4900…4a72backed Joao Fonseca	78c	13,050$10,236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,814.16	56	69.6%39 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	71cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Casper Ruud	38c	12,891$4,846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,845.55	150	48%72 W · 78 L	+10.4wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Joao Fonseca	36c	12,000$4,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,680	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b73…8688backed Casper Ruud	55c	11,862$6,516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,515.66	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Joao Fonseca	38c	11,446$4,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,096.73	659	52.5%346 W · 313 L	+27.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Joao Fonseca	63c	10,846$6,866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,980.53	3,776	42.6%1,608 W · 2,168 L	-44.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Casper Ruud	56c	10,687$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,999.91	459	57.5%264 W · 195 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Joao Fonseca	45c	10,653$4,781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,871.81	62	50%31 W · 31 L	+6.0wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+19%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7042…c72bbacked Casper Ruud	28c	10,421$2,918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,917.75	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	-8.9wins	-0.14per pick	45cpaid	-34%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Joao Fonseca	37c	10,036$3,705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,331.02	119	41.2%49 W · 70 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Joao Fonseca	37c	10,000$3,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,300	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1fb…54d0backed Joao Fonseca	77c	9,915$7,618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,297.17	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	71cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfea8…47aabacked Joao Fonseca	69c	9,761$6,740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,020.19	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Joao Fonseca	68c	9,490$6,454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,036.44	1,162	44.2%514 W · 648 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Casper Ruud	63c	8,899$5,606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,606.23	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Casper Ruud	25c	8,825$2,168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,168.03	111	54.1%60 W · 51 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Joao Fonseca	47c	8,569$4,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,554.61	334	42.5%142 W · 192 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Casper Ruud	42c	8,565$3,616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,616.02	6,700	50.8%3,401 W · 3,299 L	+267.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Casper Ruud	23c	8,475$1,949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,949.15	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Casper Ruud	57c	8,422$4,797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,796.53	662	58.9%390 W · 272 L	-32.8wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Joao Fonseca	38c	8,292$3,151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,141.04	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76cc…fbbcbacked Casper Ruud	27c	8,174$2,207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,207.11	134	27.6%37 W · 97 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Joao Fonseca	53c	7,963$4,229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,734.03	248	41.5%103 W · 145 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Casper Ruud	8c	7,810$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.02	2,892	49.6%1,433 W · 1,459 L	+23.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Casper Ruud	59c	7,723$4,539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,539.37	949	55.5%527 W · 422 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4a8…246dbacked Casper Ruud	47c	7,600$3,572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,572	92	40.2%37 W · 55 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Joao Fonseca	37c	7,323$2,719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,603.62	54	25.9%14 W · 40 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Joao Fonseca	74c	7,320$5,389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,930.91	2,369	52.2%1,236 W · 1,133 L	+87.5wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Joao Fonseca	55c	6,721$3,713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,008.13	661	39.3%260 W · 401 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Joao Fonseca	64c	6,715$4,324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,391.12	607	53.7%326 W · 281 L	-10.0wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Joao Fonseca	38c	6,579$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,078.95	853	48.7%415 W · 438 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Joao Fonseca	38c	6,554$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,053.99	1,709	50.6%864 W · 845 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bfa…621ebacked Joao Fonseca	41c	5,917$2,426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,490.81	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked Joao Fonseca	65c	5,600$3,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,959.98	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	39cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Casper Ruud	62c	5,471$3,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,380.35	161	65.2%105 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Joao Fonseca	67c	5,462$3,637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,825	2,571	36.4%937 W · 1,634 L	-21.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Casper Ruud	49c	5,409$2,654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,653.66	2,065	35.2%727 W · 1,338 L	-52.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Casper Ruud	26c	5,387$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe733…8ed4backed Casper Ruud	38c	5,319$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	45	33.3%15 W · 30 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…06abbacked Casper Ruud	64c	5,313$3,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,400	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Casper Ruud	59c	5,000$2,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,950	320	50%160 W · 160 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Joao Fonseca	37c	5,000$1,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,150	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5df…be66backed Joao Fonseca	58c	5,000$2,908 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,092.5	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Joao Fonseca	38c	5,000$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,100	443	60%266 W · 177 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Joao Fonseca	72c	5,000$3,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,400	73	75.3%55 W · 18 L	+5.4wins	+0.07per pick	68cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Casper Ruud	61c	4,788$2,939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,939.34	284	55.3%157 W · 127 L	+19.7wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Joao Fonseca	37c	4,730$1,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,979.9	7,791	47.8%3,722 W · 4,069 L	+39.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Joao Fonseca	39c	4,713$1,838 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,875.35	450	36%162 W · 288 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Casper Ruud	24c	4,645$1,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,117.58	9,267	36.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L	-199.5wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Joao Fonseca	48c	4,499$2,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,339.54	83	37.3%31 W · 52 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ff…16a3backed Casper Ruud	35c	4,490$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,559.8	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Joao Fonseca	59c	4,483$2,638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,844.74	49	65.3%32 W · 17 L	+5.1wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+86.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Joao Fonseca	40c	4,000$1,580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,420	587	45.7%268 W · 319 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Joao Fonseca	37c	4,000$1,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,530	107	39.3%42 W · 65 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8c…b52cbacked Casper Ruud	63c	4,000$2,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,520	67	37.3%25 W · 42 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Joao Fonseca	36c	4,000$1,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,560	97	41.2%40 W · 57 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafe6…8192backed Joao Fonseca	39c	4,000$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,440	259	40.9%106 W · 153 L	+12.8wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Casper Ruud	51c	4,000$2,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,029.99	399	51.1%204 W · 195 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…9324backed Joao Fonseca	75c	4,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.99	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.5wins	-0.23per pick	50cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad58…7624backed Joao Fonseca	39c	3,997$1,559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,438.11	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.58per pick	42cpaid	+137.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed Joao Fonseca	38c	3,875$1,468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,406.34	507	46.7%237 W · 270 L	+10.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b75…6679backed Joao Fonseca	56c	3,853$2,156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,697.27	123	50.4%62 W · 61 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Joao Fonseca	72c	3,793$2,741 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,052.53	1,295	56.6%733 W · 562 L	-20.2wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecathis page
Casper Ruud vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
Casper Ruud vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
Ruud vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 36.5Over won
Ruud vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 38.5Over won
Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs FonsecaFonseca won
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Fonseca (+1.5)Fonseca won
Set Handicap: Ruud (-2.5) vs Fonseca (+2.5)Fonseca won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event