TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x363c…4463

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
324
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT27431.8%87 W · 187 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 274 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+1,182.1%+$3,841.58
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.31
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,170
Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Michele Ribecaibacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,492.24
Heilbronn: Lorenzo Giustino vs Marko Topobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.65
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$7,631Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,630.63
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$5,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,045.72
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,260.49
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$3,141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,141.13
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+164.6%+$5,136.84
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$7,654Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,654.03
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11,667Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,667.05
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmannbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,505.3
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$4,746Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,746.22
Roland Garros WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Xiyu Wangbacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,903Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,903.43
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,528Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$9,511.43
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$5,341Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,341.02
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,995.29
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignonbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,768Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+376.7%+$10,428.39
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$836Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$835.89
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$4,988Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,988.08
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$3,115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$31,494.79
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,627Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,627.35
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$7,653Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,652.64
Showing 25 of 274 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4
Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.76
Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.1
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Katie Porter advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$29.64
Will Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$39.5
Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Will David Oxman be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.62
Will Joel Willett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
Will Mark Johnston be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Laura Fine be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
All 19 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+29.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.29
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+303.2%+$73.71
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.52
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+93.7%+$15.42
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.22
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+212.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.47
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+525%+$65.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,515Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,514.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.