Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9e07d62456c7cdb445cd4bb14cf7a4ab969e6c3e09ef550a70102e4552587b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 30c | 24,874$7,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,557.87 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 56c | 19,237$10,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,501.33 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 52c | 15,586$8,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,547.98 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 34c | 13,030$4,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,392.34 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 59c | 7,498$4,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400.82 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 75c | 6,224$4,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,645.21 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed Yes | 79c | 4,250$3,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,371.54 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 63c | 3,823$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.07 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 67c | 3,317$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.02 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 66c | 3,249$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.71 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.87 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…73d1backed Yes | 54c | 2,741$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.04 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed Yes | 5c | 2,018$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.11 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,977$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed Yes | 8c | 1,950$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 26c | 1,947$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.84 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 40c | 1,944$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.82 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,869$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.42 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…c5e3backed Yes | 4c | 1,548$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 31c | 1,536$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.86 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 13c | 1,526$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.07 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,502$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.47 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 40c | 1,110$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.43 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 51c | 996.56$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.3 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 30c | 787.96$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.33 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 7c | 749.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed No | 26c | 744.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.16 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 68c | 667.13$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.18 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x010d…d0e6backed Yes | 20c | 646.31$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 8c | 602.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.96 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe03…f14fbacked Yes | 5c | 573.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked Yes | 38c | 565$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.01 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 14c | 527$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 16cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84a4…1d52backed Yes | 41c | 517.08$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…9930backed No | 66c | 493$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 43c | 488$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.09 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…cb5ebacked Yes | 6c | 480$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…5ab4backed Yes | 53c | 428.17$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd2…87f8backed Yes | 47c | 415.71$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53de…b486backed Yes | 34c | 412$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 7c | 410.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 8c | 407.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed No | 66c | 393$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe468…9f4cbacked Yes | 8c | 386.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 69c | 363.07$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.72 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039e…b073backed Yes | 41c | 357.54$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 357$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 182 | 3.8%7 W · 175 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 9c | 342$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 34c | 338$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.92 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 8c | 333.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 13c | 325$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 78c | 321.9$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.46 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 28c | 317.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 9c | 305.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 104 | 2.9%3 W · 101 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe25…acb5backed No | 10c | 299.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +821.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…f8c9backed Yes | 6c | 282.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 63c | 277.44$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.61 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed No | 54c | 270$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 31c | 267.65$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.27 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…7b85backed Yes | 12c | 250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d5…32a1backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 12c | 242.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd188…ae31backed Yes | 8c | 234.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +157.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 28c | 231.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 494 | 11.5%57 W · 437 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 68c | 230$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 5c | 223.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 79c | 219$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e7…43c0backed Yes | 47c | 210.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 80c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…1cedbacked No | 72c | 190.33$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 22c | 189.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b43…0907backed No | 72c | 189.43$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc526…c973backed No | 72c | 189.37$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…fda5backed No | 72c | 189.27$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfd…72debacked No | 72c | 188.81$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa876…ed40backed No | 72c | 188.6$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…6817backed No | 72c | 188.25$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab0…0b80backed No | 72c | 188.05$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb479…cdcabacked No | 72c | 187.94$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…aa04backed No | 72c | 186.75$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x679f…f9e0backed No | 72c | 186.51$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…2b84backed No | 72c | 186.49$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff0…053cbacked No | 72c | 186.46$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc403…9198backed No | 72c | 186.26$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 74c | 186.17$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d4…3f2abacked No | 72c | 186.01$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…bf96backed No | 72c | 185.97$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44df…7855backed No | 72c | 185.69$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…1100backed No | 72c | 185.66$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d2…ba63backed No | 72c | 184.96$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680a…2ab4backed No | 72c | 184.77$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…6582backed No | 72c | 184.6$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…2df3backed No | 72c | 184.34$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f79…304fbacked No | 72c | 184.29$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e35…beabbacked No | 72c | 184$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a23…e8a9backed No | 72c | 183.35$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?this page
- Will Greg Lopez win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Jon Gray-Ginsberg win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Mark Baisley win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Scott Bottoms win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes won
- Will Will McBride win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.