Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b94b4e361a4797c94c4802dec1080f7d60005c04885a8930e931e62b12ea879
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $257,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $250,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 58c | 41,749$24,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,550.48 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 73c | 29,737$21,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,087.46 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 38c | 23,243$8,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,740.55 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 22c | 13,929$3,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,058.23 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 11c | 5,656$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.62 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 17c | 4,389$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,628.25 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 37c | 3,508$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.89 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 15c | 3,351$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.24 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 32c | 3,315$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.2 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe602…11cdbacked No | 46c | 2,400$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 54c | 2,400$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.96 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 19c | 2,262$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.87 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed No | 65c | 2,197$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed No | 4c | 2,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed No | 9c | 1,961$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.31 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 18c | 1,960$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.27 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe03…f14fbacked No | 6c | 1,715$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…691dbacked No | 5c | 1,569$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed No | 7c | 1,553$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…73d1backed No | 30c | 1,443$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.79 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked No | 9c | 1,405$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.71 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 9c | 1,372$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.4 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…ad00backed No | 5c | 1,369$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed No | 8c | 1,359$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.73 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e60…ae42backed No | 7c | 1,301$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 42c | 1,272$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.5 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 8c | 1,192$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed Yes | 66c | 1,169$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.92 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 2c | 1,150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 23c | 1,146$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.28 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 74c | 1,123$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.63 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 59c | 1,090$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.58 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 11c | 1,011$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.55 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…f400backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 9c | 931.29$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 104 | 2.9%3 W · 101 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 10c | 887.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.28 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 15c | 871.18$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.38 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 7c | 860.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc808…fffebacked No | 7c | 838.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…517dbacked Yes | 65c | 758.59$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…0738backed No | 5c | 750.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 8c | 700$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 10c | 694.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 11c | 628.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 7c | 609.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…648cbacked Yes | 12c | 600$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.4 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +10.8wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 12c | 599.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked No | 58c | 592.8$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.39 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 7c | 575$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…f8c9backed Yes | 11c | 540.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.42 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 27c | 533.12$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.18 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 37c | 527.86$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.86 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -10.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 62c | 488.79$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.81 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Yes | 67c | 480$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 22c | 472.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.03 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…bad4backed No | 6c | 450$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ed…68c7backed Yes | 54c | 450$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca5…1569backed Yes | 54c | 450$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 10c | 433.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…13a3backed Yes | 54c | 420$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed No | 10c | 419.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…178ebacked No | 46c | 408.88$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 9c | 405$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 9c | 401.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…4f59backed Yes | 54c | 400$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…cc0abacked No | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa821…0bc8backed No | 62c | 400$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7f…e38fbacked Yes | 54c | 380$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 9c | 360$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 13c | 358.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 16cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 80c | 353$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 17c | 343.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 12c | 341.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 76c | 317.13$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…46b8backed No | 4c | 308.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 18c | 300.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 494 | 11.5%57 W · 437 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 12c | 300$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe73f…9969backed Yes | 54c | 300$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…7cf3backed Yes | 71c | 299.77$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 72cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 38c | 291.3$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.87 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 49c | 279.04$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.09 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 50c | 259.24$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6430…fb2fbacked No | 40c | 250.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…6741backed Yes | 20c | 220$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 41c | 218.35$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27da…d24abacked No | 7c | 218.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked No | 31c | 205.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed No | 7c | 204.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…ae5fbacked No | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 10c | 189.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 61c | 189.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 25c | 182.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 50c | 178.32$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.23 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 8c | 173.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 10c | 171.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?this page
- Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Greg Lopez win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Jon Gray-Ginsberg win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Mark Baisley win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Scott Bottoms win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Will McBride win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.