TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcbbc…ea5a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
141
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 58 out of 100; worst World Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT3455.9%19 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$62.23
Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,029Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,028.93
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$23,245.01
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+51.6%+$6,449.55
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+87.9%+$5,273.51
Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$32,000
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$9,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,000
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$56,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$56,500
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$24,107.39
Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+47.8%+$2,152.83
Will the next Pope be from Europe?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,939Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,939.34
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$5,671Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+45.5%+$2,578.93
Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+26.7%+$7,214.48
Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,046
Will George Simion advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+27.5%+$4,805.49
Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15,097.17
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+112.9%+$4,516.16
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+71.9%+$1,258.88
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,015Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+54.6%+$1,100.61
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$47,482Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$47,481.85
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+59.9%+$8,684.25
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$8,617Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+29.8%+$2,568.94
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT2185.7%18 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+39.5%+$1,026.43
Trump trade deal in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+50.6%+$253.06
Will TikTok be banned again before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$6,996Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+39.4%+$2,754.57
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,800
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$1,332.71
Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+30.9%+$926.65
Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$14,510.31
Will Kari Lake be a member of the Trump administration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$333.72
Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+63%+$629.79
Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+31.9%+$707.51
Will fewer than 50k federal employees accept the buyout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$5,000
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+45.1%+$90.19
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+170.3%+$851.35
Will Donald Trump issue 25-49 executive orders in his first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST+25.2%+$126.13
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+34.3%+$1,781.72
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+47.6%+$5,239.19
Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+55.6%+$1,945.98
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+51.8%+$1,554.29
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,268Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+40.8%+$518.04
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$9,594Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+41.1%+$3,947.89
Trump's November 26 sentencing pushed back?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+28.9%+$721.48
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+657.4%+$821.79
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$705.92
Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$9.84
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.77
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12,744Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+25.7%+$3,270.43
NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22,660Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+26.2%+$5,932.06
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$4,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,939.74
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$4,204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,204.47
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$21,104.6
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+237.8%+$23,778.48
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$6,812Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,811.99
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$32,669.57
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$7,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,500
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$2,450.7
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31,380Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+47%+$14,760.49
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,103.37
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$267
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,205
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,072Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$303.16
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$1,789.19
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36,222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$15,088.48
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10,938Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$4,524.84
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31,407Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$18,022.7
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$14,000
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+46%+$6,904.12
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+35.1%+$175.47
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1275%9 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$750
Will Powell say "Obvious" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Powell say "China" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+38.8%+$387.75
Will Jerome Powell say "immigrant" or "immigration" during the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+28.4%+$1,419.39
Will Jerome Powell say "Unemployment" 8 or more times during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11,680Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+28.1%+$3,279.51
Will Jerome Powell say "Price" 15 or more times during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,750Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+31.9%+$1,196.28
Will Jerome Powell say "Tariff" 5 or more times during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+28.1%+$1,176.3
Will Jerome Powell say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+108.7%+$3,369.53
Will Powell say "price" 15 or more times during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,375Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+62.8%+$3,375.97
Will Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,081Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+136%+$1,470.62
Will Powell say "growth" 8 or more times during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$4,700
Will Powell say "unemployment" 8 or more times during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,530Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+51.9%+$1,831.72
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick68cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$833Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$289.63
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11,815Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$3,273.86
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$785Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$215
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$3,720.16
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11,195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+33.7%+$3,773.71
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,393Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+92.3%+$4,055.2
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+32.9%+$1,646.41
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be appointed as the next Ohio senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$602.5
Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+48.4%+$290.59
Will Ashley Moody be appointed as the next Florida senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+30%+$870
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.66
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+164%+$215.96
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.17
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$595.89
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+121%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+113%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$187.95
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+188.9%+$1,850.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$869Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$302.11
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$204.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+35.3%+$353.18
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$8,550Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+27.8%+$2,375.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+70.2%+$1,053.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+52.5%+$1,574.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42,461Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$42,461.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shedeur Sanders be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China-Vietnam trade deal before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$284.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dozen eggs be below $4.50 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$5,650
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.