WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa08d885aa8bbb4d3e1d59744774063487e02e835152d3c685bde48103636838
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof Golden State Valkyries, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $304,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Seattle Storm | 21c | 31,367$6,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,679.15 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Seattle Storm | 24c | 20,581$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,992.47 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Storm | 4c | 16,812$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.83 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 77c | 14,877$11,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,483.18 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Golden State Valkyries | 79c | 11,577$9,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.55 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Seattle Storm | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Seattle Storm | 26c | 9,055$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.05 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Seattle Storm | 21c | 8,990$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.08 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…9e9fbacked Seattle Storm | 18c | 8,559$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Seattle Storm | 17c | 7,670$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.31 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Seattle Storm | 4c | 6,350$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -83%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Seattle Storm | 16c | 5,773$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.59 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Golden State Valkyries | 78c | 5,601$4,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Golden State Valkyries | 79c | 5,002$3,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.36 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Seattle Storm | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Seattle Storm | 14c | 4,766$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Seattle Storm | 5c | 4,625$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.47 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Valkyries | 79c | 4,346$3,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.93 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Seattle Storm | 4c | 3,930$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.4 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Golden State Valkyries | 76c | 2,722$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.59 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Seattle Storm | 16c | 2,628$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.56 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Golden State Valkyries | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 2,391$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.45 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Storm | 21c | 2,236$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.57 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Seattle Storm | 29c | 2,166$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.28 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Seattle Storm | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Seattle Storm | 24c | 1,960$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.22 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Seattle Storm | 21c | 1,957$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.87 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Seattle Storm | 5c | 1,944$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 78c | 1,904$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.67 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Seattle Storm | 9c | 1,654$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.76 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 1,617$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.11 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Seattle Storm | 3c | 1,600$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Seattle Storm | 21c | 1,501$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.73 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Golden State Valkyries | 79c | 1,480$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.49 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa01a…3aeebacked Seattle Storm | 35c | 1,415$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Storm | 14c | 1,404$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.24 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Seattle Storm | 3c | 1,375$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed Seattle Storm | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Seattle Storm | 20c | 1,328$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.56 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…8a37backed Seattle Storm | 21c | 1,321$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Golden State Valkyries | 76c | 1,305$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.03 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seattle Storm | 20c | 1,062$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.03 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Seattle Storm | 2c | 1,050$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Golden State Valkyries | 72c | 1,034$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.67 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 79c | 1,027$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.62 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Seattle Storm | 5c | 1,020$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…a2d6backed Seattle Storm | 14c | 999.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c4…989abacked Golden State Valkyries | 80c | 979.43$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.09 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Seattle Storm | 20c | 957.26$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.45 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 947.29$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.82 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Seattle Storm | 19c | 916.66$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.76 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2981…698fbacked Seattle Storm | 22c | 849.98$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…eeb6backed Seattle Storm | 25c | 809.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Seattle Storm | 6c | 777.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Golden State Valkyries | 80c | 772$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.4 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Seattle Storm | 16c | 768.12$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Seattle Storm | 9c | 728.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Golden State Valkyries | 79c | 723$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.83 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Golden State Valkyries | 67c | 720$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…66f2backed Golden State Valkyries | 79c | 707.75$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.42 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Storm | 27c | 680.46$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.39 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4b…1f22backed Seattle Storm | 22c | 678.63$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.03 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd886…c006backed Golden State Valkyries | 77c | 615.74$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.62 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa81c…3d28backed Seattle Storm | 23c | 597.1$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 557.25$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.31 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…6e68backed Seattle Storm | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Seattle Storm | 22c | 458.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Golden State Valkyries | 58c | 457.05$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.96 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 79c | 443.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ba…1259backed Seattle Storm | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Seattle Storm | 25c | 415.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Seattle Storm | 19c | 410.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…d17abacked Golden State Valkyries | 74c | 407.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.74 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Seattle Storm | 5c | 407$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…cc19backed Seattle Storm | 18c | 399.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 64c | 371.94$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.9 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Golden State Valkyries | 76c | 351.67$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.67 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Storm | 26c | 350.67$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.17 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Seattle Storm | 4c | 340.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Seattle Storm | 27c | 322.2$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.39 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Seattle Storm | 12c | 320.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Golden State Valkyries | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Golden State Valkyries | 66c | 301$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.34 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Seattle Storm | 21c | 300$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Seattle Storm | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4027…30b9backed Seattle Storm | 21c | 295.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…c863backed Seattle Storm | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Golden State Valkyries | 80c | 271.81$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Seattle Storm | 23c | 261.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…e474backed Golden State Valkyries | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1f…da75backed Seattle Storm | 14c | 257.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8d…44b1backed Golden State Valkyries | 62c | 256.59$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.59 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1a…d74ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 79c | 253.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…e35ebacked Seattle Storm | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Seattle Storm | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 237.11$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Stormthis page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 157.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5Under won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.