WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf75ad9d7cce9ab26290691b0fb5f4ba8f99c02635c08037f511a352521a52ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Stormof Golden State Valkyries, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 6,753$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.31 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 6,297$3,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,463.16 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 2,772$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.36 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 2,511$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.11 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 1,426$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.72 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Seattle Storm | 54c | 806.85$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.85 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 720.42$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.82 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 517.32$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.95 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Seattle Storm | 43c | 343.67$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.89 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 340.09$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.13 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Storm | 45c | 333.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.69 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 301$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.54 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Seattle Storm | 27c | 238.09$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.76 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Seattle Storm | 55c | 228.88$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.21 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 217.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.38 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 207.37$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Storm | 64c | 163$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 141.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Seattle Storm | 68c | 137.05$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Golden State Valkyries | 57c | 121.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.34 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Golden State Valkyries | 43c | 103$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 100.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 89.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Seattle Storm | 65c | 76.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Seattle Storm | 68c | 74.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Seattle Storm | 66c | 71.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 69.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 67.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Seattle Storm | 61c | 64.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Golden State Valkyries | 35c | 54.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…6e54backed Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 45.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…b4b2backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 44.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Seattle Storm | 70c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Seattle Storm | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8683…56c7backed Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 30.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…effbbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 25.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 22.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 20.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Seattle Storm | 67c | 19.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle StormGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 157.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5Under won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.