WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 157.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb58f5742190c0ab9d15666aecc484c78402666c7fff08afd832aed2af7d86b88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 51c | 2,234$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.28 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 1,591$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.61 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 894.99$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.56 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 24c | 866.6$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.43 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 50c | 799.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 536.35$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Over | 54c | 385.85$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.06 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…2e7ebacked Over | 53c | 295.92$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.69 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…48f2backed Over | 7c | 279.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 52c | 221.94$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.41 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 61c | 221.74$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 43c | 208.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.78 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 180.02$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Under | 48c | 157.89$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 53c | 150.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 55c | 122$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 75c | 106.61$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 52c | 96.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 65c | 82.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 44c | 73.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Over | 51c | 58.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 49c | 46.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 35c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…e138backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 53c | 31.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 35c | 28.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…3a77backed Under | 51c | 24.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…c08ebacked Under | 51c | 23.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Over | 58c | 22.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 21.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b9…6d67backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 64c | 17.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 157.5this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle StormGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5Under won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.