WNBA · resolved market

Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c229a9a4304a5cd967b51b56dce1d06717e94049964b17475fab812c0856695

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $40,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $41,129

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,593 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in WNBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7634…600dbacked Over	55c	5,614$3,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,087.87	161	52.2%84 W · 77 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over	5c	5,318$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	119	41.2%49 W · 70 L	-12.0wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	34c	3,725$1,285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,440.62	1,632	50.2%819 W · 813 L	+37.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under	45c	2,392$1,076 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,315.33	110	24.5%27 W · 83 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-46%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	45c	2,387$1,081 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,305.71	859	48.4%416 W · 443 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Over	68c	2,122$1,437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,436.72	104	63.5%66 W · 38 L	+9.2wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	54c	1,745$943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$942.58	248	47.6%118 W · 130 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	46c	1,621$744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$876.82	761	42.7%325 W · 436 L	-19.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	48c	1,368$656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$711.51	1,787	51.7%924 W · 863 L	+54.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over	55c	962.88$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.56	107	49.5%53 W · 54 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	56c	951.21$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531.67	187	46%86 W · 101 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Over	56c	853.79$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.12	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under	47c	730.2$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.18	851	58.4%497 W · 354 L	+70.2wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	46c	723$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.83	128	50.8%65 W · 63 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under	45c	615.31$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.42	327	43.7%143 W · 184 L	-23.7wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	47c	393.17$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.79	932	48.8%455 W · 477 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	48c	387$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.24	262	47.7%125 W · 137 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bba…a2eabacked Under	73c	379.49$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.16	86	58.1%50 W · 36 L	-5.8wins	-0.07per pick	65cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over	16c	378$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.74	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under	55c	325$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.25	387	44.7%173 W · 214 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	48c	299.84$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.01	612	42.3%259 W · 353 L	-31.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over	47c	282$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.48	253	45.8%116 W · 137 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bbb…48f2backed Over	40c	278.09$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.63	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under	46c	252.24$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.6	149	47.7%71 W · 78 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over	54c	249.98$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.99	92	55.4%51 W · 41 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over	55c	244.41$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.43	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	47c	214.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.82	303	47.2%143 W · 160 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	51c	202.32$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.18	511	47.2%241 W · 270 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Under	49c	200$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.38	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	46c	192$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.68	327	49.5%162 W · 165 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e0d…03c0backed Over	30c	185.66$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.9	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.20per pick	40cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35c9…bc74backed Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	126	51.6%65 W · 61 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over	53c	171$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.82	215	46.5%100 W · 115 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under	52c	169.71$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.15	196	50.5%99 W · 97 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Over	56c	160.09$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	39c	131.52$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.71	351	18.5%65 W · 286 L	-49.3wins	-0.14per pick	33cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	44c	117$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.52	211	50.2%106 W · 105 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23bd…12ccbacked Over	49c	112.24$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under	45c	107.99$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.39	77	59.7%46 W · 31 L	+9.0wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Over	50c	106$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under	47c	98.33$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.33	107	43.9%47 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Under	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	155	53.5%83 W · 72 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under	46c	94.8$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.12	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+4.4wins	+0.15per pick	39cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under	52c	94.29$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.29	254	47.2%120 W · 134 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	57c	91.24$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.21	328	49.4%162 W · 166 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	57c	82$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.85	248	52.4%130 W · 118 L	+10.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e48…10fcbacked Under	60c	80$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under	48c	76.88$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.98	332	48.8%162 W · 170 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Over	55c	72.69$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.98	133	46.6%62 W · 71 L	-9.0wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under	54c	72.55$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.61	74	43.2%32 W · 42 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	56c	71.58$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.24	904	49.4%447 W · 457 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd776…4fb8backed Over	52c	70.25$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.23	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over	61c	68.8$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.64	60	55%33 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under	46c	68.63$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.06	344	48%165 W · 179 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under	47c	66.8$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.4	103	43.7%45 W · 58 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	53c	62.7$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.78	796	48.7%388 W · 408 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x387f…70a8backed Over	56c	62.5$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	66cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over	55c	59.99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.99	173	50.3%87 W · 86 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under	74c	54.05$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.05	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	54c	51.39$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.54	414	46.6%193 W · 221 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Over	44c	50.82$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	232	34.5%80 W · 152 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	123	43.1%53 W · 70 L	-11.2wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-26%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over	46c	44.54$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.55	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	53c	40.64$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.54	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa372…65bbbacked Over	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	55cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a1e…6f16backed Over	61c	36.28$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ed1…6d66backed Under	52c	36$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.28	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8428…b41fbacked Over	54c	34.37$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.48	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9410…1224backed Under	45c	33.37$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.37	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.55per pick	45cpaid	+122.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae6d…c12ebacked Over	54c	33.33$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d4…c002backed Over	54c	33.24$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.01	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Over	32c	31.16$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ad…1014backed Over	55c	30.91$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.21per pick	50cpaid	+49.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fb5…d972backed Over	70c	28.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	67cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…fbfabacked Under	50c	28$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.1	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under	51c	25.49$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.49	88	60.2%53 W · 35 L	+6.2wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over	56c	25.44$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.25	103	49.5%51 W · 52 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over	47c	25.26$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.87	192	45.8%88 W · 104 L	-12.0wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	45c	25$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.75	284	47.9%136 W · 148 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	48c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	153	37.9%58 W · 95 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Over	53c	23.87$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.65	52	69.2%36 W · 16 L	+4.6wins	+0.09per pick	60cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Over	48c	21.17$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.16	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-4.0wins	-0.33per pick	42cpaid	-83.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	52c	21.17$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.16	712	45.4%323 W · 389 L	-19.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b9…6d67backed Under	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	67cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	69c	19.78$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.13	153	46.4%71 W · 82 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a2f…b4b4backed Over	57c	18.32$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.38	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5this page
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle StormGolden State Valkyries won
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 157.5Under won
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5Under won
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)Seattle Storm won
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)Seattle Storm won
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5)Seattle Storm won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event