WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7278974dfbac3f35ca73f67808d8a2a56ea1bd42b976923260e46a83e251c696
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 52c | 6,062$3,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.68 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 4,213$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.37 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 53c | 3,371$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.3 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 47c | 1,260$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.2 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Over | 49c | 1,256$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.06 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Under | 53c | 967.36$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.66 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Under | 53c | 566.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.6 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 438.08$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.79 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Under | 49c | 409.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 50c | 354$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 51c | 339.94$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.12 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 53c | 339.69$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.69 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 22c | 299.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed Over | 44c | 205.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 41c | 199.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 53c | 189.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Under | 53c | 171.25$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.49 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Under | 53c | 170.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.38 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 59c | 169.9$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 59c | 152$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 30c | 127.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 51c | 108.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 48c | 104.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 103.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Under | 45c | 99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 74.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 40c | 58.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…effbbacked Under | 76c | 46.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 43.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 56c | 42.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fa…06e2backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 52c | 38.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 62c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 62c | 37.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Under | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 46c | 34.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…dea8backed Under | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…c002backed Under | 53c | 31.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 58c | 31.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 69c | 27.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Under | 40c | 27.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 69c | 27.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 69c | 26.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 48c | 25.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…3a77backed Over | 47c | 21.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 55c | 21.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b9…6d67backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 69c | 17.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle StormGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 157.5Under won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.