WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x576d22bd81f7c54c35545c82cd2f29b4e4b30275da7bd03cdb3da6807b8bcb87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Stormof Golden State Valkyries, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 5,600$3,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,110 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 41c | 4,093$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.3 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.98 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 1,926$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.01 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 1,613$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.73 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Golden State Valkyries | 60c | 1,577$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…a053backed Golden State Valkyries | 26c | 814.4$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.74 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 746.64$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.34 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Seattle Storm | 40c | 609.84$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 468.3$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.97 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 407.84$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.84 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked Seattle Storm | 57c | 382.23$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 377$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.31 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries | 43c | 319.01$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.37 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Golden State Valkyries | 59c | 310$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…0f8cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 59c | 269.03$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Storm | 67c | 264.61$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Storm | 67c | 220$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Seattle Storm | 79c | 192.13$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Seattle Storm | 69c | 159.45$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Golden State Valkyries | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Seattle Storm | 40c | 133.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.93 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Golden State Valkyries | 27c | 125$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Seattle Storm | 26c | 114.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Seattle Storm | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Seattle Storm | 77c | 99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Seattle Storm | 57c | 97.95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Seattle Storm | 70c | 95.14$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…e8bcbacked Golden State Valkyries | 59c | 85.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 84.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Golden State Valkyries | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 77c | 77.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Seattle Storm | 72c | 74.32$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Seattle Storm | 69c | 71.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 71.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Golden State Valkyries | 59c | 67.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Seattle Storm | 25c | 65.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Golden State Valkyries | 59c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Golden State Valkyries | 43c | 57.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 30c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Seattle Storm | 43c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 39.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Seattle Storm | 58c | 35.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…b41fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 57c | 33.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Seattle Storm | 61c | 33.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 27.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 23.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle StormGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 157.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5Under won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.