TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Seattle Stormof Golden State Valkyries, Seattle Storm
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,644
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,410

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,644 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Seattle Storm49c11,216$5,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,720.0313950.4%70 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm55c9,809$5,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,436.151,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Golden State Valkyries39c9,679$3,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,799.015050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Golden State Valkyries51c8,006$4,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,081.4413048.5%63 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Seattle Storm49c5,045$2,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.8413538.5%52 W · 83 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Seattle Storm55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250.2116152.2%84 W · 77 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Golden State Valkyries51c4,084$2,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,066.611457.9%66 W · 48 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Golden State Valkyries45c3,631$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.82152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Golden State Valkyries51c2,230$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.2238645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Seattle Storm50c1,250$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6258348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Golden State Valkyries50c1,242$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.867950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Seattle Storm14c1,015$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.753432.4%11 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Storm50c992.37$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.1964152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Golden State Valkyries49c833$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.844841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Seattle Storm51c824.14$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.6423049.6%114 W · 116 L-13.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries49c741.36$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.561,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Seattle Storm61c734.86$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.86850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Golden State Valkyries41c699.05$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.6117946.4%83 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Golden State Valkyries51c678.2$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.4832743.7%143 W · 184 L-23.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Seattle Storm24c600$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4569251.1%47 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3186…2a53backed Golden State Valkyries45c590.13$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.022744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Golden State Valkyries51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005461.1%33 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Storm48c461.62$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.0478548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1378…dbd2backed Golden State Valkyries52c427.08$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2221936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Seattle Storm14c375$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.2528140.6%114 W · 167 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Golden State Valkyries50c313.64$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.8289349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Golden State Valkyries50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a66…d749backed Seattle Storm53c273.76$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-53.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Seattle Storm61c245$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.553933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Storm48c243.59$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6783748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Golden State Valkyries51c233.33$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1191050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Golden State Valkyries35c209.53$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6812216.4%20 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-34.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Seattle Storm20c207.62$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.138744.7%173 W · 214 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Seattle Storm49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0811353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked Seattle Storm14c200$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+69.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Seattle Storm14c200$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1724746.8%22 W · 25 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked Seattle Storm50c190$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6017…6a03backed Seattle Storm58c167.39$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Seattle Storm60c166.24$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1461042.5%259 W · 351 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Storm68c132$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.420947.4%99 W · 110 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b18…b947backed Golden State Valkyries51c129$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Golden State Valkyries50c117$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.512751.2%65 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf395…e8bcbacked Seattle Storm50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Seattle Storm50c99.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4411941.2%49 W · 70 L-12.0wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5ab9…5be4backed Seattle Storm57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.72714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-74.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Seattle Storm61c81.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.687647.4%36 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Golden State Valkyries50c80.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.266835.3%24 W · 44 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Seattle Storm58c70.69$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.698860.2%53 W · 35 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Seattle Storm50c70.28$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1410657.5%61 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Golden State Valkyries67c69.79$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5410923.9%26 W · 83 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Seattle Storm56c69.31$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.337850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Seattle Storm72c66$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4812343.1%53 W · 70 L-11.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Seattle Storm71c62.55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.142853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae9…5ff8backed Golden State Valkyries52c60.54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Golden State Valkyries49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.423644.9%106 W · 130 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Seattle Storm69c58.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1110552.4%55 W · 50 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Golden State Valkyries52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012045%54 W · 66 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Golden State Valkyries44c53.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5450646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Golden State Valkyries49c51.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2913745.3%62 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Golden State Valkyries42c51.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.774942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Golden State Valkyries44c51.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Golden State Valkyries50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510543.8%46 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Seattle Storm51c42.77$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.931353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Seattle Storm71c41.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.136749.3%33 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Seattle Storm43c37.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3234918.3%64 W · 285 L-49.5wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-58.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Seattle Storm49c36.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.733100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+97.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Golden State Valkyries51c36.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4813649.3%67 W · 69 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Golden State Valkyries51c36.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.485042%21 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Golden State Valkyries50c35.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.573644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Seattle Storm33c34.12$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.026530.8%20 W · 45 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Golden State Valkyries45c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.855042%21 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Seattle Storm58c32.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.387443.2%32 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Storm52c31.71$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2485158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8428…b41fbacked Seattle Storm58c29.8$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.575457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Golden State Valkyries44c29.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.03641.6%1 W · 63 L-26.1wins-0.41per pick42cpaid-97.6%equal weight17-0.29 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Valkyries48c28.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7792248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Seattle Storm55c27.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.421154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33fc…dc88backed Seattle Storm50c26.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.161330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Golden State Valkyries46c25.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5430347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Golden State Valkyries50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.528447.9%136 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Seattle Storm54c24.38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.169156%51 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x531f…778fbacked Seattle Storm58c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.241353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Golden State Valkyries74c20.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.221656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c4…9642backed Golden State Valkyries55c20.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d92…9748backed Seattle Storm51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc385…254cbacked Seattle Storm50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb481…4db8backed Golden State Valkyries54c19.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.