TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1ed1…6d66

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$21.91
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.41
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.02
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.36
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.43
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.48
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.32
Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 2 IR Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+123.9%+$36.52
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.6
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$6.97
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$10.62
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.28
United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$7.92
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Spread: Australia (-1.5)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.92
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10.92
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$13.92
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grass Court Championships: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gastonbacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Nottingham Open: Ann Li vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Grass Court Championships: Magdalena Frech vs Eva Lysbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.6
Royan: Max Alcala Gurri vs Andres Santamartabacked Max Alcala Gurri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
Nottingham 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzschbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.56
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$5.85
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.86
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.12
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linettebacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samsonbacked Kaitlin Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jonesbacked Filippo Romano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+93.7%+$18.87
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Francesco Forti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.8
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$9.78
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$22.79
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+236.8%+$73.12
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.58
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+74.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)backed Qingdao Xihaian FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$108.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+72.4%+$126.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$25.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.