Middle East · resolved market
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8c7ea1528d2168946bf70fd4384b5e27701abdab48c011c786c28ecad5108e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $261,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $266,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 0c | 13,100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 0c | 12,690$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 0c | 12,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 133 | 2.3%3 W · 130 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked No | 14c | 7,234$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.75 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +70%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…64a7backed No | 2c | 4,458$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf9…9b13backed No | 1c | 3,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 2,964$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.05 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 15c | 2,472$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.74 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 79c | 2,408$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.64 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 13c | 2,302$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.59 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37db…dff4backed No | 24c | 2,075$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 18c | 2,000$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9725backed No | 14c | 1,860$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.62 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…e5fcbacked No | 20c | 1,594$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed No | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…8fd8backed No | 17c | 1,425$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.81 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 8c | 1,200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…8360backed Yes | 78c | 1,152$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.58 | 86 | 16.3%14 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d7…4952backed No | 13c | 1,098$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…368abacked Yes | 78c | 1,000$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -11.4wins | -0.20per pick | 67cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed No | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 14c | 999.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.5 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 73c | 993.16$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.28 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c66…44f3backed No | 15c | 950$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.5 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb698…976abacked No | 15c | 925.18$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…afcfbacked No | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 18c | 902.62$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.27 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed No | 4c | 883.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…d95cbacked No | 22c | 883.33$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 14c | 863.54$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.01 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 17c | 847.31$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.16 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 12c | 816.81$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…44a6backed No | 24c | 669.57$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked No | 4c | 620.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 9c | 608.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 171 | 29.2%50 W · 121 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 79c | 578.54$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.42 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e1…aa05backed No | 18c | 560.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…3bb1backed No | 15c | 536.7$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 18c | 524.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 218 | 31.2%68 W · 150 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 79c | 505.07$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.07 | 241 | 49.4%119 W · 122 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 9c | 500$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…26e1backed No | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked No | 17c | 496.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed No | 25c | 473.71$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 10c | 447.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Yes | 76c | 411.66$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 25c | 404.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 26c | 400$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.61 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…494bbacked No | 15c | 380$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 23c | 379.44$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed No | 10c | 369.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 126 | 29.4%37 W · 89 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 15c | 350.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…0587backed No | 17c | 344.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked No | 16c | 340.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 11c | 336.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 181 | 35.9%65 W · 116 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed No | 24c | 334.11$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…5d15backed Yes | 78c | 314.98$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 80c | 313.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 18c | 301.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 77c | 300$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7980…feadbacked Yes | 78c | 299.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 11c | 291.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 5c | 281.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 203 | 6.4%13 W · 190 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5670…2b9cbacked No | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed No | 21c | 270.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 24c | 255$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb48…9c83backed No | 16c | 247.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 74c | 244.72$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.73 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…a69cbacked No | 18c | 237.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 15c | 236.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Yes | 78c | 224.95$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked No | 20c | 222$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed No | 18c | 216.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 147 | 15%22 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…3ceabacked No | 23c | 210.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…a4a0backed No | 20c | 207.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe117…b4e7backed No | 18c | 204.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 79c | 201.61$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 8c | 201.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…1986backed No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +255.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…6d78backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b3…d24cbacked Yes | 75c | 199.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked No | 12c | 192.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 131 | 6.1%8 W · 123 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…eb71backed No | 27c | 186.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb151…1ab0backed No | 20c | 184.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacc…2eacbacked No | 11c | 179.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 16c | 167.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed No | 24c | 158.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03b3…9a65backed No | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…2e06backed No | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22b0…ef31backed No | 16c | 140.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5297…7b99backed No | 15c | 140.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -11.1wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed No | 23c | 130.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9617…ad6cbacked No | 24c | 126.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?this page
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? No won
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes won
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.