TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2712…eb71

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
232
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT5540%22 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+191.2%+$93.42
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+117%+$46.79
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$33.85
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+312.1%+$314.33
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+342.3%+$434.59
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+290.8%+$119.19
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+125%+$14.99
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$6.97
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+135.9%+$67.94
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$17.18
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.01
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+223.9%+$44.76
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.59
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.46
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.61
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT3727%10 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.33
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.94
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.51
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.44
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+84%+$41.31
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.19
Will GPT-Bidi-1 be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$18.42
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.82
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.4
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.98
Databricks vs Salesforce - higher valuation on June 30?backed Salesforce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+439.5%+$386.26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+121.8%+$60.91
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $8.0B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.51
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $26B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.75
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $27.5B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $25B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.65
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+122.3%+$24.45
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$34.35
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.71
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+64%+$32.01
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$28.9
Burnham unopposed in 2026 Labour leadership contest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+133.5%+$66.74
Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$3.71
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.44
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.98
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$54.07
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.01
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$6.05
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.19
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
Will Starmer say "Defense" during the next PMQ?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.19
Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.01
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.01
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 21 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+103.5%+$51.75
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$18.9
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.88
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$6.17
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$14.73
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 8 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$15.21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of June 8 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+365.9%+$235.79
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$22.81
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.09
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+175.8%+$91.57
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$6.42
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+321.6%+$51.4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.31
All 19 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $375 end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+451.7%+$191.04
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.99
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.35
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+313%+$199.99
Will Meta (META) close above $610 on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.49
Will Meta (META) close above $620 on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.46
Will Meta (META) close above $600 on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.94
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $385 on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.46
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.98
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.41
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.21
Will Meta (META) close above $630 on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.68
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+123.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Foggia: Giorgia Pedone vs Ekaterine Gorgodzebacked Ekaterine Gorgodze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Jodar vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+604.2%+$64.34
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Alex Marti Pujolrasbacked Alex Marti Pujolras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Foggia: Tatiana Prozorova vs Nuria Brancacciobacked Nuria Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ana Giraldi Requena vs Dana Charintcevabacked Dana Charintceva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+380.8%+$39.59
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+509.7%+$62.69
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Casper Ruud vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
Jakub Mensik vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
Mensik vs. Rublev: Match O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
ITF Monastir: Andre Lukosiute vs Anastasia Bertacchibacked Anastasia Bertacchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
Little Rock: Michael Mmoh vs Justin Boulaisbacked Justin Boulais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Lisa Zaar vs Laura Samsonbacked Laura Samson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+488.1%+$56.3
Centurion: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Giles Husseybacked Giles Hussey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+869.6%+$208.68
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT150%0 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.53
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.99
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+63%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+39.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$14.22
Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+480.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+480.4%+$96.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Malaysia vs Kuwaitbacked Kuwait · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.