MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78a38055ea89fad06012a3c15c3064299c8b7a36bef88706db266a2059d63724
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 51c | 122,856$62,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,325.17 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Under | 49c | 50,946$25,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,209.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,500 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 36,330$17,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,522.97 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 25,866$12,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,932.88 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 49c | 22,000$10,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,220 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 51c | 15,234$7,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,464.66 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 50c | 5,163$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.88 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 29c | 3,154$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.08 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 2,660$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.23 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…f0c7backed Over | 53c | 2,028$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.94 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 50c | 1,880$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.79 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.17 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +339.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 51c | 1,472$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.51 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 60c | 1,012$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.73 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…aef7backed Under | 70c | 1,005$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 1,004$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.92 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 51c | 1,000$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 916.44$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.04 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 671.82$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.21 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Over | 68c | 541.67$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.97 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Under | 50c | 527$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.5 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 39c | 487.46$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.86 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 49c | 481.5$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.76 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 432$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 49c | 427.33$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.08 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 61c | 389.95$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.87 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 50c | 280.5$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.25 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 49c | 267.8$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.45 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…accbbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…f08abacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 61c | 193$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.73 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 51c | 181.8$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 71c | 180$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 180$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…3350backed Under | 50c | 176$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 42c | 149.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…eb71backed Under | 9c | 148.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 63c | 135.53$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 63c | 132.31$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 62c | 115.86$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked Under | 11c | 109.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 50c | 99.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4666…3a55backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 44c | 94.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Under | 50c | 92.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 42c | 91.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 50c | 90.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 50c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 24c | 77.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 40c | 72.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…f06bbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 46c | 57.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 60c | 56.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 267 | 52.8%141 W · 126 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 61c | 55.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 61c | 55.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 238 | 54.2%129 W · 109 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 61c | 55.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 198 | 55.1%109 W · 89 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed Under | 67c | 46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked Over | 53c | 40.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…c007backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 52c | 39.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…567dbacked Over | 74c | 31.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked Over | 52c | 28.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…94b2backed Under | 50c | 27.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Under | 49c | 22.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 50c | 21.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 52c | 20.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Under | 72c | 20.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 209 | 62.7%131 W · 78 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. AthleticsAthletics won
- New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Athletics won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.