MLB · resolved market

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47dfece7673e8cda171bd289c1b8269289167a47c8fe6b134a8192bf89552663

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Athleticsof New York Yankees, Athletics
Resolved: May 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $40,819
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $40,507

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,819 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Athletics	51c	17,549$8,985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,564.48	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed New York Yankees	49c	15,419$7,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,500	241	46.1%111 W · 130 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees	48c	6,818$3,301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300.92	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed New York Yankees	49c	6,000$2,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,940	1,884	53%998 W · 886 L	+16.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Athletics	52c	4,370$2,272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,097.58	122	47.5%58 W · 64 L	-7.5wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Athletics	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,439.98	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees	15c	2,334$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.73	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Athletics	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	241	50.6%122 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Athletics	52c	2,000$1,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$970	1,056	48.3%510 W · 546 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7616…dd8cbacked New York Yankees	49c	1,530$747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$746.76	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7240…3325backed New York Yankees	49c	1,515$742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$742.21	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.14per pick	53cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Athletics	51c	1,114$568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$545.88	215	50.2%108 W · 107 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b8f…449bbacked Athletics	77c	909.09$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.09	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	65cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Athletics	51c	780$401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379	890	53.1%473 W · 417 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics	51c	747.98$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$366.51	4,515	48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L	-46.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees	48c	634.23$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.43	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed New York Yankees	48c	630$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.4	269	48.7%131 W · 138 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees	23c	580.69$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.28	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Athletics	52c	524.79$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.9	550	52.4%288 W · 262 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Athletics	51c	420.41$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Athletics	59c	411.07$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.76	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Athletics	69c	393.28$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.72	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Athletics	51c	391.25$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.42	2,329	49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L	+41.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees	47c	339.68$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.65	3,509	51%1,789 W · 1,720 L	+53.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked New York Yankees	43c	302$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.06	1,728	50.4%871 W · 857 L	+57.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Athletics	52c	260$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.18	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1fe…f03dbacked Athletics	51c	259.07$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.95	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Athletics	51c	252$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.72	1,001	48.3%483 W · 518 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked New York Yankees	36c	209.53$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.43	999	24.6%246 W · 753 L	-70.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked New York Yankees	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,000	52.4%524 W · 476 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d14…ff3ebacked New York Yankees	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	128	45.3%58 W · 70 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x797f…f08abacked New York Yankees	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	81	50.6%41 W · 40 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Athletics	51c	147.06$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.06	399	48.1%192 W · 207 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics	52c	142.87$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.58	8,403	47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L	+76.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeded…bfe9backed New York Yankees	26c	120.38$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.4	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked New York Yankees	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	478	49%234 W · 244 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ad…1014backed New York Yankees	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57af…81cebacked New York Yankees	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8e4…53bbbacked New York Yankees	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	+5.8wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed New York Yankees	49c	102$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	147	59.9%88 W · 59 L	+14.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Athletics	61c	89.6$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.04	6,123	55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L	+346.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed New York Yankees	49c	89$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.61	468	54.5%255 W · 213 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed New York Yankees	49c	89$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.61	721	54.2%391 W · 330 L	+20.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+144.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Athletics	53c	84.91$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.91	16	50%8 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Athletics	52c	82.58$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.7	2,995	47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L	+12.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed New York Yankees	23c	79.43$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.43	432	43.1%186 W · 246 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Athletics	64c	66.5$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.94	8,594	52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L	+508.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96d4…b8d0backed New York Yankees	27c	65$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.45	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Athletics	53c	57.96$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.49	401	48.1%193 W · 208 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Athletics	74c	51.91$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.54	5,149	54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L	+231.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Athletics	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.25	572	44.6%255 W · 317 L	-35.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Athletics	53c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.5	165	53.3%88 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Athletics	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	1,498	45.3%678 W · 820 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Athletics	52c	42.32$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.31	3,841	42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9382…4ee3backed Athletics	53c	41.51$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.51	116	58.6%68 W · 48 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Athletics	53c	40.48$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.12	295	53.2%157 W · 138 L	+7.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Athletics	51c	39.21$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.21	140	57.9%81 W · 59 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1631…072dbacked Athletics	69c	34.83$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.8	773	53.9%417 W · 356 L	+35.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f97…6aafbacked New York Yankees	49c	32.65$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	111	49.5%55 W · 56 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9642…322ebacked New York Yankees	49c	30.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Athletics	53c	28.32$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.31	137	43.8%60 W · 77 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54d5…77d4backed New York Yankees	48c	26.96$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Athletics	52c	22.15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.63	1,003	44.6%447 W · 556 L	-23.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc712…024dbacked Athletics	80c	12.56$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.56	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
New York Yankees vs. AthleticsAthletics won
New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Under won
New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 6.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
Spread: Athletics (-2.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: Athletics (-3.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Athletics won
Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Athletics won
Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)Athletics won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. AthleticsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event