MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92cda2b0d9b2d4d2fb6e2b84b92a1c58b79643601d8ed6bb5926f420b8214fda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof New York Yankees, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed New York Yankees | 39c | 19,208$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Athletics | 61c | 16,195$9,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,313.92 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 21c | 1,863$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.75 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed New York Yankees | 39c | 1,022$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.72 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Athletics | 60c | 856.61$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.65 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics | 61c | 800.79$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.4 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 38c | 600.03$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.01 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 60c | 600$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics | 61c | 563.21$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.65 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Athletics | 71c | 563.12$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.13 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758e…f824backed Athletics | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Athletics | 61c | 397.43$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed New York Yankees | 39c | 384.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Athletics | 61c | 360$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Athletics | 60c | 299$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked New York Yankees | 19c | 273$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Athletics | 79c | 211.95$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked New York Yankees | 16c | 199.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c39…d10bbacked New York Yankees | 39c | 128.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…53bbbacked New York Yankees | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…f08abacked New York Yankees | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Athletics | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked New York Yankees | 20c | 83.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Yankees | 18c | 66.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Athletics | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Athletics | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Athletics | 63c | 57.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Athletics | 62c | 35.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Athletics | 62c | 32.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Athletics | 75c | 27.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Athletics | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)this page
- New York Yankees vs. AthleticsAthletics won
- New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Athletics won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.