TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x76f4…567d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 59 out of 100; worst Valorant at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT5457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.5
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$5.83
Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.43
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.16
Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.57
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$211.66
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.81
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.1
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$5
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.26
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.68
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$352.63
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.69
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$9.45
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.65
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+52%+$10.77
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$6.02
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.09
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$19.97
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$14.55
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26%+$51.98
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$83.12
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$39.02
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+186.3%+$52.4
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT3461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$154.98
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$32.2
LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffsbacked mCon esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+154.7%+$123.82
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,010
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.44
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$200.39
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$460.85
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$463.33
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.66
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.01
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+494.5%+$169.52
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$282.06
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$9.55
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47%+$25.13
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,024Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+155%+$1,586.53
Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$578.8
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$6.83
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,347Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,347.3
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 3?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$547.47
Game Handicap: TSW (-2.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+2.5)backed Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$44.35
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$737Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$737.29
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+179.8%+$306.06
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$475.32
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,063Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+194.5%+$2,067.38
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$948Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$948.19
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.76
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$13.99
All 5 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Dallas Wings (-12.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$22.37
Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.07
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+121.9%+$32.54
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+112.7%+$391.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.