MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b93996b2d0127e19e2eca9d1c90360c01d0c7e0f64c525c539d96afbb537e8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,341$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.9 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 54c | 1,087$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.98 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 54c | 907.61$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.34 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 54c | 805$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.7 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 37c | 789.47$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.37 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 59c | 782.76$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.85 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 54c | 734$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.46 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 41c | 659.17$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.91 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 50c | 618.2$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.07 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 56c | 615.59$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.89 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 54c | 542.44$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.92 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 54c | 459.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 35c | 366$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.03 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 37c | 307.95$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.01 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 273.73$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.08 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 49c | 269.56$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.44 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 37c | 265.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.1 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 249.42$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.73 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 46c | 237.29$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.14 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Under | 25c | 228$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.06 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 40c | 218.74$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.14 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 45c | 205.25$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Under | 35c | 180.86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.56 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 45c | 167$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 53c | 155.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 52c | 142.64$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 45c | 122$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 50c | 100.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 68c | 90$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 62c | 80.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 54c | 79.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 54c | 77.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 74.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 46c | 70.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 55c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 47c | 62.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…b31bbacked Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Over | 57c | 57.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 54c | 54.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…1bc0backed Over | 68c | 53.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 30c | 51.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 353 | 41.1%145 W · 208 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Over | 30c | 49.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 65c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 53c | 44.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 37c | 42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da6…1615backed Over | 26c | 39.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 67c | 38.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 54c | 38.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 61c | 37.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 50c | 36.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 37c | 36.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb0…dbc2backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 47c | 30.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…567dbacked Over | 63c | 29.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Under | 37c | 29.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5079…e560backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 23.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 51c | 22.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 56c | 20.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.