TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8cb0…dbc2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Poland vs. Ukraine end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
Poland vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Spread: Ukraine (-1.5)backed Ukraine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$56.42
Will Cabo Verde vs. Serbia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)backed Serbia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$14.2
Will Czechia vs. Kosovo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
Czechia vs. Kosovo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Czechia vs. Kosovo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+400%+$60
Will Switzerland win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$29.69
Poland leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Poland vs. Ukraine: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Will Czechia win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$12.1
Will Kosovo win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UD Almería vs. Real Valladolid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: UD Almería (-2.5)backed Real Valladolid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)backed SD Eibar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Will CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)backed Real Zaragoza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.77
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$12.26
Spread: UD Las Palmas (-2.5)backed RC Deportivo La Coruña · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.98
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.43
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-4.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$7.18
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.84
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-44.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vasteraas SK vs. IFK Goteborg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Will IF Brommapojkarna win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$29.11
Will Degerfors IF win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
Degerfors IF vs. IF Brommapojkarna: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will BK Hacken vs. Hammarby IF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Degerfors IF vs. IF Brommapojkarna: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
BK Hacken vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
BK Hacken vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-34.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-65.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.