Fifa International · resolved market
Poland vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf982539643ed0933bf5f65661ec60f614f16110e6a6b0743fda8a14d7be8190c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 2,437$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.97 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5721…6746backed Yes | 46c | 1,600$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 73c | 1,375$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 981.38$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.43 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 54c | 747.26$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 64c | 566.86$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.34 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…2988backed Yes | 53c | 556.6$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Yes | 63c | 549.92$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.45 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 28c | 539.63$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.3 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 46c | 423.39$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.63 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 26c | 372.47$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…5edbbacked Yes | 54c | 310.46$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.64 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 39c | 272.12$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.84 | 143 | 23.8%34 W · 109 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 47c | 239.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.19 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 27c | 236$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.28 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 17c | 235$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 47c | 212.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.85 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed No | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Yes | 54c | 200$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 193.87$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.83 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a2…8613backed No | 58c | 172.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed No | 48c | 167.81$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.26 | 249 | 50.2%125 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 47c | 158.54$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 53c | 155$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked No | 51c | 137.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Yes | 69c | 130$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…714cbacked Yes | 29c | 129.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0abc…5a5cbacked Yes | 54c | 129.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a69…5a45backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b2…45d7backed Yes | 64c | 94.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…ed50backed Yes | 62c | 80.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…2ee8backed Yes | 61c | 77.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes | 53c | 70.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30c…a7a7backed Yes | 37c | 66.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a65…5864backed Yes | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…355abacked Yes | 62c | 63.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed No | 33c | 60.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…b8edbacked Yes | 53c | 57.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc96d…1a5bbacked Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3963…6c32backed Yes | 45c | 52.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…41ccbacked Yes | 40c | 50.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 239 | 51.9%124 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Yes | 65c | 47.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 53c | 36.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe465…7f38backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e28…f043backed Yes | 53c | 36.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 43c | 34.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 202 | 27.2%55 W · 147 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed No | 47c | 34.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf9…dbb9backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb0…dbc2backed Yes | 49c | 29.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 47c | 29.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 67c | 26.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 46c | 24.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd1…8deebacked Yes | 59c | 23.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 47c | 22.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4633…48f1backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…c522backed Yes | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…cec1backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Poland vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 0.5Over won
- Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5Over won
- Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5Under won
- Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5Under won
- Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 4.5Under won
- Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Poland (-1.5)Ukraine won
- Spread: Poland (-2.5)Ukraine won
- Spread: Ukraine (-1.5)Ukraine won
- Spread: Ukraine (-2.5)Poland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.