TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,249
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,442

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,249 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c3,719$1,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,876.154,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over34c3,528$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.9620150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over56c2,661$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.3810949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over35c1,900$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6654427.3%12 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+119.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over41c1,845$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.0117938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under68c1,762$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.0120262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over14c992.72$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9810550.5%53 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over31c980.18$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.053,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa4…8968backed Over64c969.74$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6255062%31 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b4…e861backed Over74c925.95$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.07966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under45c766.15$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.041968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under56c733.33$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.6120839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0527…a978backed Under28c707.75$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.789359.1%55 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under63c634.92$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9210451.9%54 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under61c629.34$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.1919744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over52c592.09$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.171,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under53c570$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.2493542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4495…e6d7backed Over78c513.45$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.497057.1%40 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Over80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40022242.8%95 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under36c455.07$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.6944435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under48c404.46$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.3216153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Over77c389.61$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.64623.9%11 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over37c386.5$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2814323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over47c346.99$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.872,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over64c310.9$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9828964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under52c300.87$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.011,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd296…084dbacked Over45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13512045%54 W · 66 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over51c254.44$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7113253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Under55c244.18$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.186845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over68c220.59$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15055153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024649.2%121 W · 125 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Over49c205.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed Over66c200$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1318846.6%41 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under19c197.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.0311648.3%56 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Over32c197.5$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.254650%23 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2666…ade6backed Over50c190.28$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.146346%29 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Under54c184.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.129146.2%42 W · 49 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Over50c162.66$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Over49c158.05$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7710948.6%53 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce0f…5c9ebacked Over56c151.75$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.93026.7%8 W · 22 L-5.9wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-44.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1017…c669backed Under50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Over80c150$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201050%5 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over64c136.37$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6435658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9522…7af0backed Under55c125.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.761833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Under46c115.44$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8338439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a2…86debacked Under45c109.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.061752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over47c104.09$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2631554.6%172 W · 143 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505332.1%17 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under53c99.83$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5120050%100 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Over40c98.77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024840.3%100 W · 148 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over42c94.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9487651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Over77c89.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.296555.4%36 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Over64c89.97$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5831156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3250450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under29c75.87$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8169744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf30c…a7a7backed Over28c67.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.572343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf92c…a387backed Under45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.677644.7%34 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2897…0004backed Over46c64.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under52c64.66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9484844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Over37c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224731.9%15 W · 32 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over46c53.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.261,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a65…5864backed Over48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad5e…e71fbacked Under58c52.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.05757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1390…080fbacked Under70c48.57$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.57977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over52c47.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.842437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9808…5cfdbacked Under55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4515062.7%94 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f20…3a2abacked Under65c45.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.825764.9%37 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3d70…d0a6backed Under45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.443844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under52c44.37$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.32,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Over55c43.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.011040%4 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over76c42.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328646.5%40 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ce…6da3backed Over48c40.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.39850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa848…b25bbacked Over74c40.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.73482.4%28 W · 6 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a89…3e2abacked Over33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.25728.1%16 W · 41 L-7.0wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-33.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.64235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x453c…b749backed Over26c39.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.224325.6%11 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Under68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.767663.2%48 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under53c35.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.663,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Over54c31.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1733345.3%151 W · 182 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under54c29.41$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.638,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over39c28.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.253412.9%10 W · 331 L-132.4wins-0.39per pick42cpaid-94%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under59c28.47$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6737458.8%220 W · 154 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Under50c28.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.216040.6%65 W · 95 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over47c24.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3710539%41 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under64c22.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1763151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over45c22.57$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0614647.3%69 W · 77 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Under66c19.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4218764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ea6…dcf5backed Under70c17.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.361136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-40.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.