Fifa International · resolved market
Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06a5f20c28b2a0315620d9d39b5a893049b13797295a1bb1c5620bd998f596e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Under | 41c | 2,010$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.05 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 1,746$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.66 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0f…3476backed Over | 56c | 1,473$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.21 | 179 | 38%68 W · 111 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 74c | 1,356$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.12 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 1,162$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.35 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 862.58$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.19 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 67c | 725.4$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.49 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 28c | 667.73$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.95 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 60c | 605$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 73c | 544.47$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.47 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 39c | 489.28$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.74 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Under | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 7.4%4 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 5c | 228.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 26c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 27c | 186.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…a978backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 245 | 55.1%135 W · 110 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 27c | 151$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 26c | 143.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 32c | 129.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 42c | 105.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce0f…5c9ebacked Over | 61c | 103$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 183 | 71%130 W · 53 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 29c | 88.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…b749backed Under | 26c | 69.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 60c | 54.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdecb…e058backed Over | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 37c | 52.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 73c | 47.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…5f4fbacked Over | 73c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 26c | 40.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 39.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…1ebabacked Over | 74c | 35.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…0675backed Over | 73c | 34.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…0193backed Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 74c | 19.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5this page
- Poland vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 0.5Over won
- Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5Under won
- Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5Under won
- Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 4.5Under won
- Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Poland (-1.5)Ukraine won
- Spread: Poland (-2.5)Ukraine won
- Spread: Ukraine (-1.5)Ukraine won
- Spread: Ukraine (-2.5)Poland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.