Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85e0270fe6a6afff085c5e6e0a4a01c0a9f79d5e3bafd2e529a33b66c14b0296

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $69,939
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $78,729

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,939 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Over	50c	40,000$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	170	34.7%59 W · 111 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	52c	33,770$17,435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,334.86	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over	14c	3,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	105	50.5%53 W · 52 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	67c	2,373$1,579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$793.98	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a1…8366backed Under	80c	1,700$1,353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.03	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.9wins	-0.32per pick	54cpaid	-64.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Under	50c	1,015$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507.61	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	146	12.3%18 W · 128 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Under	78c	890.16$693 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.24	129	64.3%83 W · 46 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over	25c	789$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	78	30.8%24 W · 54 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	28c	615.74$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.64	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5572…984ebacked Over	49c	608.75$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.49	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca97…f3cebacked Under	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+6.0wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Over	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	172	18.6%32 W · 140 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc56d…c484backed Under	74c	420$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.2	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-34%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under	50c	408.8$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.4	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over	27c	400$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	331	20.8%69 W · 262 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Under	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	226	39.4%89 W · 137 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a2…86debacked Under	51c	386.35$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.45	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over	17c	360.88$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.35	179	38%68 W · 111 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over	50c	345$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.35	143	23.8%34 W · 109 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-28%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcff1…f8debacked Over	27c	337.85$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	18c	310.71$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.93	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	61c	298$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.83	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under	50c	270$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	334	43.4%145 W · 189 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Under	50c	264.08$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.04	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa902…d159backed Under	80c	250$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-7.3wins	-0.15per pick	60cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	83	34.9%29 W · 54 L	-8.9wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	31c	180$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	504	50.2%253 W · 251 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over	25c	133.32$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.01	203	30.5%62 W · 141 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under	50c	132$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	236	58.1%137 W · 99 L	+20.4wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	75c	117.4$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.74	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	48c	111.57$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.97	308	36%111 W · 197 L	-17.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Over	24c	110$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	172	17.4%30 W · 142 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4c1…489fbacked Over	25c	100.24$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.06	83	31.3%26 W · 57 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x453c…b749backed Over	14c	88.03$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.33	43	25.6%11 W · 32 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-37%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa83f…b857backed Under	50c	81.3$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.65	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.64per pick	37cpaid	+217.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1e9…ed50backed Over	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under	67c	77.32$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.84	475	46.1%219 W · 256 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under	50c	77$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.5	118	60.2%71 W · 47 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	78	24.4%19 W · 59 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under	50c	74.68$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.34	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under	79c	70.74$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.72	631	51.5%325 W · 306 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under	50c	70$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	311	56.6%176 W · 135 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae3…93c3backed Under	51c	67.59$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.39	65	75.4%49 W · 16 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	68cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under	77c	64.94$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.94	63	73%46 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	74cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	75c	64.92$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.23	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d2…e9c3backed Under	51c	63.89$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.54	147	68.7%101 W · 46 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	75c	60.64$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.26	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…be0abacked Over	20c	58.22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.64	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5218…7fc9backed Under	76c	56.58$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.58	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-3.1wins	-0.11per pick	65cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	26c	55$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	876	51.1%448 W · 428 L	+25.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under	74c	55$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.3	133	51.1%68 W · 65 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under	50c	54$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	155	43.9%68 W · 87 L	+9.0wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	73c	46.33$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.39	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under	55c	42.89$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.17	146	47.3%69 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Under	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	248	37.1%92 W · 156 L	-12.5wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6347…b0febacked Under	77c	38.96$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.96	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a89…3e2abacked Over	50c	38$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	57	28.1%16 W · 41 L	-7.0wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	75c	30$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.65	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Under	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under	57c	29.35$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.63	697	44.9%313 W · 384 L	+18.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under	49c	21.53$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.88	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-5.3wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-52%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xab35…118dbacked Under	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.9	110	61.8%68 W · 42 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5this page
Poland vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 0.5Over won
Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5Over won
Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5Under won
Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 4.5Under won
Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Poland (-1.5)Ukraine won
Spread: Poland (-2.5)Ukraine won
Spread: Ukraine (-1.5)Ukraine won
Spread: Ukraine (-2.5)Poland won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event