TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5572…984e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Mls at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.44
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.49
Will Poland win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.4
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.43
Will Sweden vs. Poland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.54
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+527.2%+$240.47
Will Poland vs. Albania end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.58
Will Poland win on 2025-10-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$13.76
Will Hungary vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Finland win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.63
Will Poland vs. Finland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.38
Will Germany vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.28
Will Georgia vs. Bulgaria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Netherlands vs. Poland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+525%+$126
Will Poland win on 2025-09-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.52
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Kings vs. 76ersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$45.48
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+134.2%+$53.69
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$82
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+251.6%+$562.43
Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H Moneylinebacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+233.3%+$490
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$107.67
Pistons vs. Celtics: 1H Moneylinebacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+104.1%+$168.3
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+157.5%+$150.44
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,195Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+127.3%+$1,521.15
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$57.82
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$43.27
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.69
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$6,794Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,793.64
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$3,899Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,899.07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,696Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,695.82
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,585Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,584.68
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,218Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,218.4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,559Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,558.73
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$297.85
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST80%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19.6
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.53
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.97
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.96
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.51
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 8 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+97.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick5cpaid+952.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid-45.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+78.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$24.67
Will Levante UD vs. Real Betis end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$51.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)backed Borussia Mönchengladbach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.1
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
US Lecce vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump declare war on Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs ShindeN (BO3) - FiReCONTER Group Bbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$16.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Howard Bison vs. Drexel Dragonsbacked Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$538.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Sabresbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$24.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BYU vs. Coloradobacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.