TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cincinnati Redsof Colorado Rockies, Cincinnati Reds
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$500,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$499,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $500,914 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26dd…0249backed Colorado Rockies0c164,545$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3827146.9%127 W · 144 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Colorado Rockies0c120,726$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.1441847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Colorado Rockies0c43,893$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7952449%257 W · 267 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Colorado Rockies1c32,715$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.261,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Colorado Rockies36c20,401$7,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,312.411,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Colorado Rockies0c12,693$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.741,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Cincinnati Reds64c10,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,60012457.3%71 W · 53 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Cincinnati Reds64c8,085$5,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,910.5477053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Colorado Rockies35c7,229$2,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,538.194,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Cincinnati Reds64c7,182$4,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,585.631149.2%153 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Colorado Rockies17c5,264$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.12,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Rockies20c5,264$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.298,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Colorado Rockies0c4,753$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.894648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Colorado Rockies34c3,580$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.0731039%121 W · 189 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cincinnati Reds77c3,090$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.991,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Colorado Rockies12c2,899$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.941,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds68c2,582$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.2811,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Colorado Rockies14c2,531$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.31,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Colorado Rockies12c2,482$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.2634452.6%181 W · 163 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Colorado Rockies12c1,700$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204429.5%4 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-80.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Cincinnati Reds65c1,537$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.9213655.1%75 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Colorado Rockies15c1,524$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.5513818.8%26 W · 112 L-17.2wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-46.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Colorado Rockies21c1,369$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.841,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cincinnati Reds79c1,366$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.061,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Colorado Rockies18c1,122$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.761,14142.9%490 W · 651 L-37.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Colorado Rockies20c1,100$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22025240.1%101 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Colorado Rockies35c1,100$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.9812850%64 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Colorado Rockies14c1,020$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7610544.8%47 W · 58 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6660…172bbacked Colorado Rockies12c1,005$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4e…c3c3backed Colorado Rockies36c722.22$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Colorado Rockies8c718.93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6026315.6%41 W · 222 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Colorado Rockies13c691.9$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2750337.2%187 W · 316 L-42.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Colorado Rockies27c664.53$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0619934.2%68 W · 131 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6f1…7da3backed Cincinnati Reds80c626.99$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.291794.1%16 W · 1 L+5.9wins+0.35per pick59cpaid+80%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Colorado Rockies14c615.62$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.191,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds64c599.99$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2166,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Cincinnati Reds65c598.08$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.351,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2513…91fbbacked Colorado Rockies36c555$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.87248.6%35 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ce…ddd7backed Cincinnati Reds63c535$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.9512857%73 W · 55 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Cincinnati Reds62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19080159.2%474 W · 327 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Cincinnati Reds65c499.63$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.8740645.1%183 W · 223 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Colorado Rockies17c445.53$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7485235.8%305 W · 547 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Colorado Rockies15c419.87$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.478146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Colorado Rockies18c410.51$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2319442.3%82 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Colorado Rockies5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015552.3%81 W · 74 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Cincinnati Reds65c384.62$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.621,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Colorado Rockies11c370.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029331.7%93 W · 200 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x529c…1809backed Colorado Rockies14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies23c324.62$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf3…101fbacked Colorado Rockies36c300.5$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1833241.3%137 W · 195 L+1.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x079b…7263backed Cincinnati Reds65c293.72$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Cincinnati Reds76c282.33$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9539640.9%162 W · 234 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Cincinnati Reds64c279.54$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.6439850.3%200 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Colorado Rockies36c275$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9977050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Colorado Rockies19c268.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x851c…dafdbacked Colorado Rockies15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds67c241.81$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.19,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Cincinnati Reds75c240$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.475,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9b3…3a80backed Cincinnati Reds65c233.85$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.851662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Cincinnati Reds64c216.67$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7833852.7%178 W · 160 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Colorado Rockies36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafc0…a15bbacked Colorado Rockies10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205841.4%24 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Colorado Rockies13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c93…8967backed Colorado Rockies25c199.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505839.7%23 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Colorado Rockies21c195.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.379933.3%33 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Cincinnati Reds67c194.36$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.220258.4%118 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55af…6a1bbacked Colorado Rockies35c192.2$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2736345.7%166 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Cincinnati Reds80c186$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5628350.2%142 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed Cincinnati Reds77c180$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.044055%22 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e7…b4a1backed Cincinnati Reds65c169.23$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.233743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70e9…836abacked Colorado Rockies12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021323.5%50 W · 163 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4957…ef96backed Cincinnati Reds65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.853850%19 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Cincinnati Reds65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8520350.2%102 W · 101 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d6…10d9backed Colorado Rockies25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.535547.3%168 W · 187 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Colorado Rockies29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Cincinnati Reds65c149.95$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4834648.6%168 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd21…a494backed Cincinnati Reds65c144.57$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.611146.8%52 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea0…865dbacked Cincinnati Reds65c143.08$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0816952.1%88 W · 81 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5572…984ebacked Colorado Rockies11c140$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1660%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x128a…dc04backed Colorado Rockies14c139.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.493718.9%7 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x982e…add6backed Colorado Rockies19c138.78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2733228.3%94 W · 238 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Colorado Rockies35c135.55$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.091,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52f6…af63backed Colorado Rockies22c128.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.751631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Colorado Rockies14c123.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.192,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb64c…41dabacked Colorado Rockies36c122.12$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.964744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Cincinnati Reds64c120$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.839344.3%174 W · 219 L-22.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d00…7507backed Colorado Rockies36c118.89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.89642.7%41 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Colorado Rockies23c115.07$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.711,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Colorado Rockies25c110.97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.241,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Cincinnati Reds64c110$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.673653%390 W · 346 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Colorado Rockies16c109.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.891,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Cincinnati Reds77c98.76$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.712,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Colorado Rockies14c96.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6895041.5%394 W · 556 L-48.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cf5…31f9backed Colorado Rockies34c94.06$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4222445.5%102 W · 122 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Colorado Rockies20c86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1733137.5%124 W · 207 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef65…f32fbacked Colorado Rockies36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3088045.1%397 W · 483 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Colorado Rockies35c82.65$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.931,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…581bbacked Cincinnati Reds65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.927460.8%45 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14de…414ebacked Cincinnati Reds65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9216056.9%91 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Colorado Rockies23c76.18$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2223522.6%53 W · 182 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.