MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8fee9fca38c0309c1c4ac8aae7f97571d27b55a5bd204a4dac84af4fcb5520e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Colorado Rockies, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $500,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $499,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $500,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Colorado Rockies | 0c | 164,545$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.38 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Colorado Rockies | 0c | 120,726$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.14 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Colorado Rockies | 0c | 43,893$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.79 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Colorado Rockies | 1c | 32,715$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.26 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 20,401$7,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,312.41 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Colorado Rockies | 0c | 12,693$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 8,085$5,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910.54 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Colorado Rockies | 35c | 7,229$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538.19 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 7,182$4,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.6 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Colorado Rockies | 17c | 5,264$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.1 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Rockies | 20c | 5,264$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.29 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Colorado Rockies | 0c | 4,753$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Colorado Rockies | 34c | 3,580$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.07 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cincinnati Reds | 77c | 3,090$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.99 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Colorado Rockies | 12c | 2,899$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.94 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 2,582$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.28 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Colorado Rockies | 14c | 2,531$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.3 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Colorado Rockies | 12c | 2,482$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.26 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Colorado Rockies | 12c | 1,700$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 1,537$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.92 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Colorado Rockies | 15c | 1,524$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.55 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Colorado Rockies | 21c | 1,369$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.84 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 79c | 1,366$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.06 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Colorado Rockies | 18c | 1,122$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.76 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Colorado Rockies | 20c | 1,100$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Colorado Rockies | 35c | 1,100$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.98 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Colorado Rockies | 14c | 1,020$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.76 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6660…172bbacked Colorado Rockies | 12c | 1,005$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 722.22$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Colorado Rockies | 8c | 718.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Colorado Rockies | 13c | 691.9$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.27 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Colorado Rockies | 27c | 664.53$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.06 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…7da3backed Cincinnati Reds | 80c | 626.99$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.29 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +5.9wins | +0.35per pick | 59cpaid | +80%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Colorado Rockies | 14c | 615.62$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 599.99$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 598.08$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.35 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked Colorado Rockies | 36c | 555$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 535$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.95 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 499.63$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.87 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colorado Rockies | 17c | 445.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Colorado Rockies | 15c | 419.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Colorado Rockies | 18c | 410.51$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Colorado Rockies | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Colorado Rockies | 11c | 370.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed Colorado Rockies | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies | 23c | 324.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.49 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…101fbacked Colorado Rockies | 36c | 300.5$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.18 | 332 | 41.3%137 W · 195 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079b…7263backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 293.72$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Cincinnati Reds | 76c | 282.33$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 279.54$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 275$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Colorado Rockies | 19c | 268.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…dafdbacked Colorado Rockies | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 241.81$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 240$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…3a80backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 233.85$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.85 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 216.67$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Colorado Rockies | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…a15bbacked Colorado Rockies | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Colorado Rockies | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Colorado Rockies | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Colorado Rockies | 21c | 195.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 194.36$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Colorado Rockies | 35c | 192.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 80c | 186$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Cincinnati Reds | 77c | 180$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e7…b4a1backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 169.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Colorado Rockies | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 23.5%50 W · 163 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4957…ef96backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…10d9backed Colorado Rockies | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Colorado Rockies | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 149.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 144.57$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…865dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 143.08$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…984ebacked Colorado Rockies | 11c | 140$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…dc04backed Colorado Rockies | 14c | 139.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Colorado Rockies | 19c | 138.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Colorado Rockies | 35c | 135.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Colorado Rockies | 22c | 128.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Colorado Rockies | 14c | 123.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…41dabacked Colorado Rockies | 36c | 122.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d00…7507backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 118.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Colorado Rockies | 23c | 115.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Colorado Rockies | 25c | 110.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Colorado Rockies | 16c | 109.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Cincinnati Reds | 77c | 98.76$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Colorado Rockies | 14c | 96.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Colorado Rockies | 34c | 94.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 224 | 45.5%102 W · 122 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Colorado Rockies | 20c | 86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…f32fbacked Colorado Rockies | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 880 | 45.1%397 W · 483 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Colorado Rockies | 35c | 82.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…581bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…414ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Colorado Rockies | 23c | 76.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 235 | 22.6%53 W · 182 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-4.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.