TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6660…172b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
166
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+174.7%+$159
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$277.83
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,787Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$1,105.7
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+148.4%+$18,104.63
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+231.6%+$7,459.53
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,458Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+205.5%+$5,052.1
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,741Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$1,961.38
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,833Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$1,918.32
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,678Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,677.89
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.4
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$440.8
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12,979Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,979.28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.84
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.9
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,319.35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.74
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,466Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$770.77
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$100.2
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.51
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$348
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$857Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$367.2
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$239.62
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$817Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$317.8
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 53°F or below on January 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+27%+$18.81
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+33.3%+$18.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on January 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$44.63
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on January 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$85.35
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or higher on January 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$442.46
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on January 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$542.9
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on January 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on January 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+30.1%+$114.3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C or below on January 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+34.8%+$7.67
Will the highest temperature in London be 3°C on January 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+42.6%+$60.89
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$180
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on January 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+59.2%+$36.07
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on December 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+36%+$41.32
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on December 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+39.5%+$20.09
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 77°F or below on December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+163.2%+$63.38
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+179.5%+$157.94
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 39-40°F on December 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$92.82
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2425%6 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$781Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$456.74
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.57
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$817Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$317.8
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.57
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.74
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+49.5%+$33.1
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$793Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+30.8%+$244.03
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$89.35
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$26.65
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+354.5%+$54.6
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$18.2
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$21.77
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$27.75
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+614.3%+$172
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$339.55
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$64
All 24 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$149.16
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$37.8
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+376.2%+$237
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+74.1%+$93.59
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$31.9
Will Bianca Censori be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$27.05
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+195.9%+$72.82
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$23.7
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$147
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$331
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$63
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid+30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+400%+$120
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$86
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$108.3
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.5
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.4
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.5
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,138.17
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.99
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.75
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$624.01
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.4%+$871.25
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12.9
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+47.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$887Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$398.66
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,701Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,701.16
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+37%+$18.9
Over 55,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+53.8%+$35
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.8
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+40.8%+$23.2
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+28.1%+$50.45
Kinetiq FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$106.43
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+553.2%+$169.38
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+165.3%+$81
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,034.13
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$100.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$92
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$3,386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,386.36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$461.91
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,726Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$1,260.26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,883Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,883.19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,096Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,398.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$34.55
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-72.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+66.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+225.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$651Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$407.58
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$6,448Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40%+$2,578.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.92
Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruudbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,762Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,761.94
Madrid Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$883Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$882.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+294.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,587Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+294.8%+$4,677.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,018Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$548.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,728Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,727.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,414Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,414.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.