Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0f77edc0e9515fec0aab13b5db959da2e1d9d36c27396c147ff953489aa171e

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 18, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,833,589
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,399,951

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,833,589 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0228…a700backed Yes	2c	89,657$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,399.84	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	72,965$1,802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,802.25	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	61,308$1,242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,242.09	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	4c	21,601$892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$891.68	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a0f…601abacked Yes	0c	21,593$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	1c	21,582$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.8	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc70…d51fbacked Yes	2c	20,231$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Yes	4c	15,588$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	1c	15,110$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.2	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14f7…eb7ebacked Yes	0c	14,500$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca88…efb2backed Yes	4c	14,000$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.92	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x952c…be27backed Yes	8c	12,023$918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$918.13	68	22.1%15 W · 53 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	0c	11,723$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.24	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	3c	11,101$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.84	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56db…171cbacked Yes	4c	10,828$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.05	58	8.6%5 W · 53 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x969a…e4c5backed Yes	4c	10,750$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.96	113	10.6%12 W · 101 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-56%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	10,596$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.19	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd68c…fcb2backed Yes	3c	10,144$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.25	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.13per pick	7cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	3c	10,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	18c	10,000$1,790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,789.81	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa042…54d8backed Yes	0c	9,990$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51d6…3836backed Yes	1c	9,650$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.61	150	6%9 W · 141 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	2c	9,639$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.68	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes	0c	8,752$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.01	86	16.3%14 W · 72 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe578…9bc8backed Yes	6c	8,568$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	8c	6,582$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.73	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4081…cfb0backed Yes	1c	6,274$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.74	134	7.5%10 W · 124 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	1c	6,150$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.71	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeeb3…56f3backed Yes	15c	5,789$887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$886.74	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4d3…9249backed Yes	7c	5,399$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.16	52	7.7%4 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96a7…9e8dbacked Yes	1c	5,320$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	5c	5,214$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.81	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77ef…9f6abacked Yes	2c	5,100$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.49	25	28%7 W · 18 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	19cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	4,687$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.06	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda0…8992backed Yes	4c	4,367$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164	166	21.7%36 W · 130 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d49…bf50backed Yes	6c	4,300$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.95	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	2c	4,228$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.49	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b04…c387backed Yes	3c	3,910$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.9	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	8cpaid	+121.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	1c	3,668$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.37	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	8c	3,500$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.11	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	15c	3,476$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.6	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	9c	3,363$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.57	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4d…bfa0backed Yes	13c	3,360$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.78	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	-4.0wins	-0.12per pick	25cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes	2c	3,300$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.6	209	7.7%16 W · 193 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa6…b38fbacked Yes	5c	3,243$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8d7…3e75backed Yes	4c	3,094$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.26	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b8…82b2backed Yes	9c	3,030$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.8	82	14.6%12 W · 70 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	3c	3,009$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes	0c	3,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	177	9%16 W · 161 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes	10c	2,914$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.23	207	4.3%9 W · 198 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	7c	2,893$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x618f…f2f3backed Yes	2c	2,657$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.22	67	13.4%9 W · 58 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66a1…c2f2backed Yes	3c	2,634$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	118	11%13 W · 105 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x328b…a089backed Yes	5c	2,400$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	17cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	5c	2,250$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.75	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	19c	2,100$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.94	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x990b…c30ebacked Yes	1c	2,087$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	4%1 W · 24 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	9cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf19e…8eaabacked Yes	0c	2,047$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.19	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e4…8669backed Yes	10c	2,014$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	126	16.7%21 W · 105 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac88…9b35backed Yes	2c	2,008$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	66	6.1%4 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes	3c	2,000$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3c77…05f5backed Yes	11c	1,919$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.2	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf77…1488backed Yes	16c	1,851$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.66	44	18.2%8 W · 36 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	11c	1,824$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes	5c	1,818$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88cb…2c20backed Yes	3c	1,809$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.16	108	11.1%12 W · 96 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+70.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe98…9e5abacked Yes	7c	1,774$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.57	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes	7c	1,749$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	181	16%29 W · 152 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfde2…4253backed Yes	1c	1,727$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c0e…4838backed Yes	2c	1,719$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.47	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	+56.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76d2…153abacked Yes	5c	1,700$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	62	4.8%3 W · 59 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	+307.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c58…b15cbacked Yes	5c	1,661$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.99	45	6.7%3 W · 42 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	16cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c16…dd84backed Yes	6c	1,619$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes	6c	1,616$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.97	155	20%31 W · 124 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes	12c	1,602$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	212	11.8%25 W · 187 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes	3c	1,573$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.63	243	7%17 W · 226 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3f…3dc7backed Yes	13c	1,520$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.29	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9279…ff7bbacked Yes	14c	1,508$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.3	73	16.4%12 W · 61 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-39%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb73…8890backed Yes	5c	1,500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.99	30	10%3 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5436…e29ebacked Yes	14c	1,479$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x013b…01cfbacked Yes	19c	1,458$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.93	84	17.9%15 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x552c…be63backed Yes	3c	1,441$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.17	143	14%20 W · 123 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Yes	1c	1,384$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.47	83	12%10 W · 73 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9be0…7491backed Yes	1c	1,377$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-62.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3de…12a5backed Yes	6c	1,372$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.32	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc5e…4e9ebacked Yes	5c	1,300$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.28	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcaa0…1df7backed Yes	4c	1,293$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.72	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed Yes	4c	1,269$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.5	221	19.9%44 W · 177 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefda…8dfbbacked Yes	1c	1,250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	171	5.3%9 W · 162 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a9…6da5backed Yes	1c	1,250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	25	8%2 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd24d…11f7backed Yes	1c	1,243$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.43	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes	6c	1,200$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.89	69	13%9 W · 60 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…568ebacked Yes	14c	1,185$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.83	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b48…3b37backed Yes	2c	1,149$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe739…eeb5backed Yes	2c	1,146$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.63	133	17.3%23 W · 110 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	4c	1,109$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	2c	1,097$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb59f…dbedbacked Yes	3c	1,083$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.3	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	7c	1,080$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.03	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event