Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb27b11f858a01fe9a632fa40b0784763e6f518aad98f5c637bb9702885690a1

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 16, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $740,014
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $512,972

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $740,014 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6a2d…d491backed Yes	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7902…170cbacked Yes	0c	27,000$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	79	0%0 W · 79 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf75d…9a13backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	0c	18,720$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.45	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	0c	16,000$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c6e…30f0backed Yes	0c	15,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes	0c	14,298$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	136	0.7%1 W · 135 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+635.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf979…0ebebacked Yes	0c	13,628$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.63	8	0%0 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfa0…c6acbacked Yes	0c	13,568$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.57	7	0%0 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	0c	10,061$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x413d…d704backed Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a12…9d86backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	0%0 W · 6 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75fc…a53abacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77ef…9f6abacked Yes	1c	10,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	28%7 W · 18 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	19cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	7,892$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.53	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fa8…d618backed Yes	0c	7,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	0c	7,055$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4d…bfa0backed Yes	19c	6,014$1,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,154.5	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	-4.0wins	-0.12per pick	25cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	4,582$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.6	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	1c	4,500$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8d7…3e75backed Yes	0c	4,023$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.62	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	2,577$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.46	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa724…06c4backed Yes	20c	2,535$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae1b…8b13backed Yes	3c	2,500$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.25	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	1c	2,283$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.85	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	177	9%16 W · 161 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c32…377fbacked Yes	14c	2,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.99	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes	17c	1,979$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344	212	11.8%25 W · 187 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	19c	1,976$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x720f…0aabbacked Yes	5c	1,878$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7b…a88dbacked Yes	10c	1,792$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.24	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4268…6677backed Yes	1c	1,785$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	11cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	5c	1,563$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.03	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa140…d86fbacked Yes	2c	1,536$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3f…3dc7backed Yes	20c	1,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb73…8890backed Yes	7c	1,500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	30	10%3 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x952c…be27backed Yes	1c	1,371$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	68	22.1%15 W · 53 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d6…20f7backed Yes	20c	1,274$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.3	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	12c	1,250$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes	11c	1,180$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.4	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf77…1488backed Yes	13c	1,152$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.78	44	18.2%8 W · 36 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes	14c	1,035$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc25a…f814backed Yes	22c	1,000$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9279…ff7bbacked Yes	6c	1,000$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.22	73	16.4%12 W · 61 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-39%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2616…8d3cbacked Yes	18c	1,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51d6…3836backed Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	150	6%9 W · 141 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes	12c	999.99$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	158	12%19 W · 139 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	10c	988.74$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.26	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0744…b4cbbacked Yes	22c	944.57$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	15c	944.19$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.36	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	80c	934.06$744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.26	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f0e…f35dbacked Yes	18c	900$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-76.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b7…9be5backed Yes	5c	862.56$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	2c	840.72$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.69	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e4…8669backed Yes	2c	807.01$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	126	16.7%21 W · 105 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	2c	806$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.35	147	15%22 W · 125 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+80.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x328b…a089backed Yes	15c	800$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	17cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d02…220abacked Yes	20c	791.12$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.89	84	14.3%12 W · 72 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	18c	750$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes	15c	725.77$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	147	18.4%27 W · 120 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbe98…9e5abacked Yes	9c	721.43$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes	10c	700.15$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.91	69	13%9 W · 60 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d2…153abacked Yes	13c	699.97$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	62	4.8%3 W · 59 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	+307.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ff…5e00backed Yes	8c	651.04$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62d7…7e85backed Yes	14c	640$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.8	89	7.9%7 W · 82 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd538…04aabacked Yes	3c	616.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18f4…f89fbacked Yes	17c	600$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74a2…2ab4backed Yes	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	4c	555$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.2	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80dc…7cf8backed Yes	16c	550$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	83	14.5%12 W · 71 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c29…0b7cbacked Yes	2c	542.4$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89b8…82b2backed Yes	3c	529.31$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	82	14.6%12 W · 70 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2021…a8d5backed Yes	2c	500$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9973…bc03backed Yes	16c	500$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	51	13.7%7 W · 44 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2f7…55dcbacked Yes	13c	499.98$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1ea…8ad6backed Yes	21c	479.48$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.17per pick	25cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	8c	473.66$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.78	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a33…28e8backed Yes	11c	449.98$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e26…e972backed Yes	23c	436.96$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	51	13.7%7 W · 44 L	-4.6wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca12…ea03backed Yes	22c	400$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+2.7wins	+0.14per pick	17cpaid	+195.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7847…fc71backed Yes	14c	399.99$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf07…4b64backed Yes	15c	399.5$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc98b…6430backed Yes	13c	381.69$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e00…adf9backed Yes	14c	355.25$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.44	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-73.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4e8…df4dbacked Yes	17c	352.66$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.21	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-3.4wins	-0.18per pick	39cpaid	-60%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x35c6…6d71backed Yes	11c	350.73$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	97	23.7%23 W · 74 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…e4e1backed Yes	10c	350$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	98	16.3%16 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e49…936bbacked Yes	18c	333.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5fa…fe6ebacked Yes	16c	321.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	53	18.9%10 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e60…3736backed Yes	8c	300$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.3	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16a1…838fbacked Yes	13c	300$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	13cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cc6…8e7bbacked Yes	14c	300$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c2…1398backed Yes	14c	300$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.5	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…a22abacked Yes	11c	299.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.4	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c91…55d2backed Yes	19c	299.56$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.92	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd11…3401backed Yes	17c	295.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	17cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed Yes	17c	291.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.71	89	24.7%22 W · 67 L	-8.0wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7124…e719backed Yes	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ab…97a4backed Yes	11c	272.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb40f…091cbacked Yes	7c	263$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.89	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event