Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda770c5f7a96fe68b58e89b7df9c5a5f901cfede62d8e213f90635174c6977d4

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 18, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,133,508
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $549,159

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,133,508 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	2c	107,487$2,482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,481.58	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	8c	74,164$5,761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,760.51	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	1c	55,129$582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$581.73	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	41,312$1,933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,932.99	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	4c	37,895$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,559.63	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6349…2a82backed Yes	0c	27,009$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.65	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+76%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes	0c	23,050$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.45	149	14.1%21 W · 128 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6d…d787backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	1c	18,682$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.12	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	13c	13,098$1,765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,765	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	7c	12,428$894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$894.26	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	15c	12,020$1,835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,835.18	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	15c	12,000$1,782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,781.55	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	4c	11,256$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.17	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	10c	11,055$1,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,132.79	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033e…34c6backed Yes	2c	10,000$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.49	25	16%4 W · 21 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	3c	8,495$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.39	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	3c	8,331$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.41	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes	3c	8,300$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.5	207	4.3%9 W · 198 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	3c	7,961$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.12	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4081…cfb0backed Yes	1c	7,000$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	134	7.5%10 W · 124 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a19…81b9backed Yes	15c	6,798$989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988.89	42	19%8 W · 34 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x637b…5c6bbacked Yes	6c	6,522$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.78	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5369…aac5backed Yes	16c	6,388$1,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,035.06	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+72.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3b4…27f7backed Yes	1c	5,681$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.6	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	7c	5,059$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.64	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76d2…153abacked Yes	1c	5,000$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	62	4.8%3 W · 59 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	+307.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d3…9249backed Yes	8c	4,858$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.6	52	7.7%4 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	8c	4,580$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.09	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	4,252$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.11	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	4c	4,234$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.26	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec4e…aa07backed Yes	9c	4,115$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.87	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9973…bc03backed Yes	13c	3,505$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.18	51	13.7%7 W · 44 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f7…6c8abacked Yes	18c	3,401$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed Yes	3c	3,360$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.06	221	19.9%44 W · 177 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b51…5868backed Yes	17c	3,229$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.79	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	2c	3,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6aca…c734backed Yes	4c	2,976$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.48	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf6…22a9backed Yes	12c	2,928$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.14	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	6c	2,677$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.45	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc52c…6732backed Yes	24c	2,657$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649	39	5.1%2 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Yes	18c	2,572$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.71	94	20.2%19 W · 75 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca88…efb2backed Yes	7c	2,423$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.24	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce6…107cbacked Yes	8c	2,413$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.18	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	9c	2,383$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.39	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde54…444dbacked Yes	1c	2,222$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.55	20	25%5 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	+91.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	5c	2,197$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.69	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb07a…4d19backed Yes	16c	2,172$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.8	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	1c	2,153$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.84	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x369d…a2d2backed Yes	13c	2,096$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.77	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f73…a5e9backed Yes	22c	2,070$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Yes	1c	2,049$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.01	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80c0…f57ebacked Yes	6c	2,005$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	36	11.1%4 W · 32 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	1c	2,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7db…40f4backed Yes	5c	2,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+46.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x931d…dd7abacked Yes	15c	1,939$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.85	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	4c	1,873$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.8	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	9c	1,838$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.99	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0de0…0884backed Yes	19c	1,830$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	1c	1,800$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	9c	1,800$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.38	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed No	77c	1,760$1,355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.8	230	19.1%44 W · 186 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3de…12a5backed Yes	11c	1,731$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.02	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8423…b93dbacked Yes	4c	1,660$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.81	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	15c	1,616$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.8	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe90c…0d37backed Yes	21c	1,600$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.2	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf77…1488backed Yes	6c	1,600$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.6	44	18.2%8 W · 36 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	1c	1,585$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.49	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes	5c	1,552$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.79	69	13%9 W · 60 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes	12c	1,527$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	212	11.8%25 W · 187 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	2c	1,500$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51d6…3836backed Yes	8c	1,471$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.02	150	6%9 W · 141 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9279…ff7bbacked Yes	10c	1,468$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.95	73	16.4%12 W · 61 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-39%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes	3c	1,400$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	184	12%22 W · 162 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e4…8669backed Yes	15c	1,335$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	126	16.7%21 W · 105 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked Yes	4c	1,330$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.88	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89cf…d81abacked Yes	8c	1,326$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.16per pick	25cpaid	-87.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9519…9739backed Yes	14c	1,315$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.01	65	18.5%12 W · 53 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc5e…4e9ebacked Yes	16c	1,307$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.17	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8c6…5b8bbacked Yes	7c	1,275$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.23	112	21.4%24 W · 88 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…7b1fbacked Yes	13c	1,250$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.25	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	1,239$989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.3	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	14c	1,108$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.05	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5c0…a09dbacked Yes	10c	1,096$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.7	138	18.8%26 W · 112 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes	14c	1,092$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	181	16%29 W · 152 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea37…f7b1backed Yes	4c	1,074$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.29	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56db…171cbacked Yes	11c	1,068$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	58	8.6%5 W · 53 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	8c	1,055$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.11	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	2c	1,050$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cee…1832backed Yes	25c	1,007$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.19	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed Yes	5c	999.99$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	86	16.3%14 W · 72 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b04…c387backed Yes	9c	982.62$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.5	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	8cpaid	+121.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes	10c	979.03$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.85	158	12%19 W · 139 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27c6…e143backed Yes	11c	956.04$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.66	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10f8…9ac9backed Yes	8c	942.01$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8daa…89d6backed Yes	11c	919.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6994…9631backed Yes	9c	915.67$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4d…bfa0backed Yes	18c	914.72$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.77	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	-4.0wins	-0.12per pick	25cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event