Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67cf70277c7adc7c1de3bc26d5867124ce836be8e7cf120269406e2bef788caa

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 18, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,155,383
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,110,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,155,383 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 798 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	65c	33,593$21,744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,849.35	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed No	76c	22,537$17,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,017.34	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	25c	20,476$5,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,365.47	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked No	76c	16,014$12,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,195.12	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	34c	14,329$4,818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,511.58	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	25c	14,169$3,493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,675.22	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b4…ab27backed No	38c	11,500$4,392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,392.5	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	20c	11,279$2,206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,072.7	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec4e…aa07backed No	4c	10,092$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.8	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	39c	10,044$3,867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,867.37	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x001a…810bbacked No	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Yes	49c	9,374$4,561 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,812.78	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes	54c	9,089$4,869 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,220.42	28	25%7 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca88…efb2backed Yes	49c	9,054$4,445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,609.31	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	58c	8,349$4,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,469.01	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	36c	8,003$2,909 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,094.64	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked No	10c	7,210$686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685.89	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x952c…be27backed No	0c	6,666$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	68	22.1%15 W · 53 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	44c	6,359$2,784 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,575.5	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	64c	6,309$4,063 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,063	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x983f…c67ebacked No	35c	6,218$2,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,165.58	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa06c…9d93backed No	3c	5,769$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked No	3c	5,700$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	38c	5,274$1,985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,289.64	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3e4…8669backed No	2c	5,251$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.11	126	16.7%21 W · 105 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	11c	5,196$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,615.97	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	45c	5,074$2,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,813.72	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aca…c734backed Yes	13c	5,000$635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,365	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	24c	4,703$1,124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,579.43	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	52c	4,657$2,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,246.62	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8864…3ed5backed Yes	47c	4,630$2,193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,437.24	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…568ebacked Yes	34c	4,550$1,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,010.16	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed No	1c	4,352$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.76	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	29c	4,243$1,223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,020.43	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	20c	4,104$820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,283.54	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5884…9466backed No	64c	4,000$2,559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,558.74	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	37cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x76d2…153abacked Yes	2c	4,000$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,919.91	62	4.8%3 W · 59 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	+307.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0654…fabdbacked Yes	69c	3,889$2,677 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,212.06	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5369…aac5backed Yes	27c	3,572$975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,596.85	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+72.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8936…d010backed No	7c	3,500$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.85	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+2.2wins	+0.16per pick	20cpaid	+76%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc295…dde9backed No	4c	3,415$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.99	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	80c	3,110$2,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,478.08	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	29c	3,086$903 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,182.7	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb042…14f3backed Yes	37c	3,073$1,129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,944.45	103	25.2%26 W · 77 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x663a…5c51backed Yes	28c	3,007$852 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,154.75	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac88…9b35backed Yes	18c	3,000$543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,457	66	6.1%4 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes	3c	2,963$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,862.24	207	4.3%9 W · 198 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda0…8992backed Yes	38c	2,873$1,089 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,784.29	166	21.7%36 W · 130 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeeb3…56f3backed Yes	46c	2,871$1,332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,539.32	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9973…bc03backed Yes	28c	2,794$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,024	51	13.7%7 W · 44 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x013b…01cfbacked Yes	16c	2,724$442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,281.87	84	17.9%15 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	45c	2,666$1,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200.79	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf90b…cb6cbacked Yes	59c	2,612$1,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,072.33	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-14%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Yes	61c	2,587$1,589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$997.73	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b4…293cbacked Yes	17c	2,539$437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,102.32	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.83per pick	17cpaid	+481.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb73e…c66fbacked No	5c	2,500$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	17cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes	14c	2,480$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,132.56	212	11.8%25 W · 187 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0de0…0884backed Yes	41c	2,420$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,420.47	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a19…81b9backed Yes	30c	2,382$709 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,673.42	42	19%8 W · 34 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	15c	2,381$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,022.43	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3de…12a5backed Yes	6c	2,349$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,212.23	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	50c	2,315$1,146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,168.45	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x539f…56fcbacked Yes	65c	2,304$1,493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$810.71	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd68c…fcb2backed Yes	16c	2,260$371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,889.46	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.13per pick	7cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67d9…9beebacked Yes	63c	2,218$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$818.46	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b69…16d4backed Yes	32c	2,211$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,505.85	223	27.8%62 W · 161 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	27c	2,053$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,490.28	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	56c	2,046$1,143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$902.5	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf8fd…4373backed Yes	17c	2,032$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,691.71	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	68c	2,024$1,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,386.18	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf77…1488backed Yes	18c	1,990$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,628.76	44	18.2%8 W · 36 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9991…9480backed Yes	44c	1,855$808 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,047.01	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92be…368cbacked Yes	76c	1,716$1,313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$403.46	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	2c	1,695$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,658.63	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1bc…bd81backed Yes	51c	1,680$862 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$817.83	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d28…ad63backed Yes	19c	1,665$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,340.57	35	20%7 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No	24c	1,600$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66a1…c2f2backed Yes	42c	1,574$665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$908.53	118	11%13 W · 105 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62d7…7e85backed Yes	6c	1,547$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,451.15	89	7.9%7 W · 82 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked No	38c	1,546$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.39	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9279…ff7bbacked Yes	13c	1,527$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,334.65	73	16.4%12 W · 61 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-39%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e75…50d7backed Yes	70c	1,503$1,049 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.55	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No	66c	1,483$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$971.58	169	69.2%117 W · 52 L	+17.6wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+13%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf7d0…881ebacked No	69c	1,451$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ae…73ddbacked Yes	23c	1,443$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,111.59	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-62.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f73…a5e9backed Yes	21c	1,439$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,139.35	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec05…b328backed No	27c	1,405$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.55	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8161…99dabacked No	57c	1,405$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.52	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11de…21d7backed Yes	54c	1,389$754 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$635.33	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccdc…fe52backed Yes	73c	1,374$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.78	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes	51c	1,332$673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$658.81	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a0…d7a5backed Yes	61c	1,323$809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$514.43	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-59.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e40…5f04backed No	49c	1,305$643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.69	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5e…4e9ebacked Yes	14c	1,303$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,126.4	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e04…482abacked Yes	38c	1,302$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$805.37	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.62per pick	38cpaid	+162%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6de5…91c6backed Yes	24c	1,298$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$992.65	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27c6…e143backed Yes	32c	1,283$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$872.9	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes	16c	1,282$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,081.76	181	16%29 W · 152 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	33c	1,273$415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$857.65	147	15%22 W · 125 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+80.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5436…e29ebacked Yes	16c	1,270$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,069.82	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event