TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc52c…6732

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST395.1%2 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick6cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$89
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$73
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$179
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$410
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+2,103%+$2,102.98
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$308
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$175
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$99
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$225
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+252%+$277.15
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.78
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.06
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$284.62
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$330
Will Real Oviedo vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$233.99
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$342
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Real Betis vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$460.93
Will Getafe vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$299
Will Girona vs. Alaves end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$114
Will Real Oviedo vs. Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+209.6%+$2,620.32
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,400
Real Oviedo vs. Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$800
Will Getafe vs. Girona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.83
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.64
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.01
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.05
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$169.29
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$650
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$621
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12.47
Will Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$4,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$4,505
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,200
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+46.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+210.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+210.3%+$886.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.