TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,744

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,744 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a92…6941backed No13c19,943$2,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,494.265538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes59c11,890$7,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,853.944,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No67c5,000$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,35024147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes33c3,347$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.2490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No67c2,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.995141.2%21 W · 30 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed No68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.981844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed No6c1,567$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.914936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No39c1,008$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39315446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No11c869.29$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.346929%20 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked No6c764$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9822753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No67c694.2$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.8192254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes62c676.37$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.0269142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes33c663.29$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.450149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No10c601.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.183939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes33c600$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4025058%29 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No6c578$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3315442.2%65 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No52c550$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28742458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc52c…6732backed Yes34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3302317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No25c495.21$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8426641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No34c487.41$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.721,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No66c438.51$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.4226853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07fe…4d66backed Yes34c404.72$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.7210440.4%42 W · 62 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked No25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006035%21 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No67c398.47$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9842851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No6c386.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7053…887abacked Yes32c378.15$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+105.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2369…5174backed Yes33c365.45$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafbc…b77abacked Yes32c358.94$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed No39c331.68$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.361258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick37cpaid+69.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No67c324.55$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.451,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No9c320$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.85764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aef…ccfbbacked Yes32c315.26$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.38450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No24c306.76$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6817032.9%56 W · 114 L-0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No67c300$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20120642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No67c300$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20123947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No66c299.34$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.562,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc385…8eb0backed Yes68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.124463.6%28 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked Yes34c291.18$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.184240.5%17 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa829…bc90backed No67c284.68$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.74540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-45%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c34…8dfabacked No40c282.9$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.761553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed No5c280$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14238.7%2 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick24cpaid-86.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No40c260$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10420148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No7c254.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2960832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No8c240.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0426930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes32c210.98$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1127854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6040…33a9backed No67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-40%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf9d…821fbacked No68c200$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1361546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13664046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8abb…a7d5backed No66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked No9c166.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.961553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2523152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015062%93 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bf2…85b7backed No67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002556%14 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No31c147.48$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2244424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed Yes34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.062060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x084d…7e47backed No68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007864.1%50 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec2d…45a8backed No69c140.59$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.01633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ac8…787dbacked No68c133.52$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67a0…33e9backed No69c131.42$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No66c124.36$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.071,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f9d…fbdcbacked No69c122.09$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c14…c5fdbacked No68c120.59$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…0b78backed No69c119.48$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14dc…ef3abacked No69c119.32$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6434…fce6backed No69c118.24$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6f…1c42backed No9c114.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.75520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes33c114$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3853242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cef…3cd4backed No68c111.34$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x955e…10c9backed No69c110.69$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd7…8a4fbacked No69c105.43$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick71cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked No68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6817651.7%91 W · 85 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0163…9aa0backed No66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666250%31 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0299…5f02backed No67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked No19c99.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198028.8%23 W · 57 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes61c99.96$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.983542.9%15 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No18c94.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8235145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed No53c93.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No67c88.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6769750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba79…e944backed Yes34c88.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2414250.7%72 W · 70 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No14c88.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3957252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Yes33c87$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.291942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedcc…6211backed No69c85.09$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No67c79.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5921546%99 W · 116 L-14.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No66c75.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.141,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked No68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011350.4%57 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014574.5%108 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae86…a294backed Yes70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.43683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick77cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes50c68.71$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4441147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da3…caa5backed Yes62c68.48$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x023d…23acbacked Yes76c65.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No67c65.01$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7220353.7%109 W · 94 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed No67c63.68$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.672161.9%13 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No67c63.51$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7110754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd06b…0e9ebacked No48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-64.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.616544.6%29 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x368c…e8d5backed No39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed No39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204266.7%28 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Yes62c51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.572250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.55743.9%25 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.