TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xba79…e944

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
238
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT14250.7%72 W · 70 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 142 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$53.21
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Will Granada CF win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Showing 25 of 142 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT4065%26 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.85
Thunder vs. Cavaliersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+37%+$11.1
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+53.8%+$16.15
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+56.7%+$17
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+48.2%+$28.93
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+25%+$7.5
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$17.62
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$16.15
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+88.3%+$26.5
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+150%+$45
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.45
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+75.4%+$22.63
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT3951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+300%+$60
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+525%+$105
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$29.47
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-31.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$15.14
Will SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.41
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.