TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-05-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,427
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,427 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes37c40,354$14,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,424.3515034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No64c30,165$19,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,204.1724145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes36c19,000$6,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,090.673839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c9,334$5,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,382.443,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Yes55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.996350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No63c4,452$2,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,817.692,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No62c3,605$2,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,234.7611154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No41c3,354$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.844,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No62c3,148$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.041,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No64c2,745$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.1540357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No64c2,724$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.0622455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No62c2,540$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.2268450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes37c2,396$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.2714647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No63c2,009$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.382065%13 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Yes39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No63c1,874$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.7448251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes38c1,710$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.5113445.5%61 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No62c1,612$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.4450449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No61c1,400$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85411566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes36c1,250$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80028045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes38c1,184$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.2111252.7%59 W · 53 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No59c1,170$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.746243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6e…a9e2backed Yes34c1,164$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No42c1,106$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.881,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6401258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003450%17 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No6c700.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9821322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed No23c662.6$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.842657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+48.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No61c570.08$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.4589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Yes77c549.51$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.313447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Yes57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+55.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No22c499.93$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9328138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf95…5c3ebacked No26c484.79$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.16875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes70c406.92$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.0913658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No62c345$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.0583650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes75c332$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.034247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No31c321.2$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6158548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes64c277.44$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3292345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes73c270.91$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2321950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No5c270.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8360832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No50c266.17$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6763553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes74c250.26$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6318956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed No64c240$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.63452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked Yes38c206.01$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.731729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-40.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No62c192.02$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12018046.7%84 W · 96 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No64c186.95$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.259167%61 W · 30 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes57c181.32$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.973633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6297…1302backed Yes55c175.93$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.171450%7 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes60c170$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.059641.7%40 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.496145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked No67c168.37$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1131361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a48…dc30backed No16c159.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb2a…e923backed Yes59c152.32$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcadd…c7e6backed No45c148.61$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.371050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked No25c142.63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.650%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a90…03b5backed Yes45c141.32$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.52333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Yes71c141.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.21580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+82%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51d7…f1dbbacked Yes36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+63.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked No33c138.22$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No63c136$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1845450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.147552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Yes37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.146651.5%34 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No63c130.44$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7569750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5d8…6fcfbacked Yes40c116.49$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.89450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes74c109.69$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.815540.6%63 W · 92 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602373.9%17 W · 6 L+7.1wins+0.31per pick43cpaid+58.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453250%16 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No62c95$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.311,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf508…30a5backed No64c93.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No61c93$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.691,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked No14c89.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.654055%22 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No25c89.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5837348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes36c84.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2975451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed No60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-18.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No62c83.15$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5531952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Yes37c81.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.38852.3%46 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed No65c76$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+178%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba79…e944backed Yes40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4514250.7%72 W · 70 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes76c69.63$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.71560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e82…85c9backed Yes76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes56c64$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.484143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No21c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.83030%9 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe22f…49b1backed No39c57.37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-64.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes60c56$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1883939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0512330.1%37 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed No63c53.4$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.64580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e0d…bc8dbacked Yes37c51.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No26c43.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4661657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5553…f42abacked Yes71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed No44c42.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.542556%14 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes67c40.76$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3220253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No58c40.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.575259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fb…6e68backed Yes74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Yes66c40.52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.952373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No61c40.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7212653.2%67 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed No64c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.66956.5%39 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes77c39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0120241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No62c39$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.188960.7%54 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Yes72c38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.731687.5%14 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick67cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.