La Liga · resolved market
Will AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8138168d8dd0b7f802fd58f60dc965330cb58bae5848d17ec73715567080edd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 25c | 59,683$14,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,882.14 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 19,663$14,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,708.15 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 15,769$11,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,872.56 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 73c | 14,950$10,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,036.5 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 76c | 5,589$4,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.74 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 72c | 3,354$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.3 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 3,264$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.55 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 3,231$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.34 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 28c | 2,692$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 2,039$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.91 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 76c | 1,807$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.74 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…34ecbacked No | 71c | 1,631$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.99 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,607$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 71c | 1,489$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.67 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 74c | 1,170$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.52 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 25c | 1,040$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 74c | 1,000$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 76c | 628.68$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 76c | 549.33$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.84 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 28c | 431.9$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.19 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 27c | 391.02$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.99 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 76c | 373.73$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.74 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 27c | 276.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 28c | 260.53$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 76c | 164$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 24c | 154.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 78c | 140$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 116$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 78c | 109.81$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 101.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…7a8ebacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Yes | 25c | 93.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 25c | 89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 23c | 81.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 78.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…7e33backed Yes | 29c | 74.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…2af5backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 76c | 70.55$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Yes | 29c | 67.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed No | 78c | 65.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 75c | 61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 76c | 59.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked No | 76c | 56.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed No | 75c | 54.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed No | 79c | 53.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 28c | 52.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 76c | 51.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 76c | 49.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…4f2dbacked Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…93c3backed No | 76c | 47.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed No | 75c | 45.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +8.3wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed No | 76c | 45.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94b4…7d38backed Yes | 26c | 44.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 76c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 29c | 37.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed No | 76c | 36.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 77c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 73c | 35.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 34.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85fd…7a2bbacked No | 76c | 32.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…444abacked No | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…02ffbacked No | 76c | 28.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e4…5583backed No | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked No | 76c | 14.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 76c | 14.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked No | 76c | 14.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?this page
- Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes won
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-05-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.